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Journal Article
Recent U.S. export performance in the developing world

U.S. exports to developing countries have grown remarkably in recent years, far outpacing our sales increases to the industrial world. The author seeks explanations for this strong performance in the traditional determinants of export growthrelative prices and income growthand in other factors linking world economic conditions to developing country demand for U.S. goods.
Quarterly Review , Volume 17 , Issue Win

Journal Article
The dollar and U.S. imports after 1985

Despite a steep drop in the dollar's value, imports continued to grow much faster than domestic sales after 1985. The resilience in the demand for imports raised concern that foreign producers in the first half of the 1980s had gained long-term advantages in U.S. markets that diminished the impact of the dollar's fall. This article investigates whether the dollar in fact retained its power to influence the demand for foreign goods.
Quarterly Review , Volume 18 , Issue Aut

Journal Article
The effect of imports on U.S. manufacturing wages

U.S. imports of manufactured goods increased rapidly between 1975 and 1985. During the same period, real wages of U.S. manufacturing workers stagnated. The author investigates whether the increased competition from imports affected earnings within industries and contributed to the sluggish growth of aggregate manufacturing wages.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Spr

Journal Article
Has excess capacity abroad reduced U.S. inflationary pressures?

This article examines whether the sizable amount of excess capacity abroad in recent years has eased U.S. inflationary pressures by keeping import prices from rising as fast as the prices of U.S.-produced goods. The analysis finds that overall import price growth has roughly kept pace with U.S. inflation because the effects of lower inflation abroad have been offset by exchange rate changes. In the case of Japan, dollar depreciation has rendered excess capacity basically ineffective against U.S. inflationary pressures.
Quarterly Review , Volume 19 , Issue Sum

Macroeconomic forecasts under the prism of error-correction models

When the error correction term exhibits persistence, its change may convey useful information about short-run economic dynamics, which, if not taken sufficiently into account by a forecasting model, could be associated with predictable forecast errors. Such errors are documented in the DRI forecasts for the U.S. consumption, GNP and imports. The strong results, together with the very general assumptions behind the theoretical framework, suggest that similar predictable errors may be pervasive in the forecasts of other large-scale econometric models. Key Words: Error Correction Models, ...
Research Paper , Paper 9728

Factors behind the shifting composition of U.S. manufactured goods trade

Research Paper , Paper 9036

The effect of import competition on manufacturing wages

Research Paper , Paper 9030

U.S. imports in the 1980s: some insights from a disaggregate analysis

Research Paper , Paper 9210



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anonymous 8 items

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