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Journal Article
Housing markets and demographics
Krainer, John (2005)
Fifteen years ago, like today, there were concerns that house prices might collapse. One big difference between then and now, however, is the basis for those concerns. Today, people are worried that a house price bubble (if one exists) might burst, while 15 years ago, people were worried about demographic effects, specifically, the inevitable aging of the baby boomers. ; The earlier concern was sparked by a paper by Mankiw and Weil (1989), in which the authors famously predicted that between 1987 and 2007, real house prices could fall by 3% per year. In fact, real house prices grew by an ...
FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
House price growth when kids are teenagers: a path to higher intergenerational achievement?
Cooper, Daniel H.; Luengo-Prado, Maria Jose (2011)
This paper examines whether rising house prices immediately prior to children entering their college years impacts their intergenerational earnings mobility and/or educational outcomes. Higher house prices provide homeowners, especially liquidity constrained ones, with additional funding to invest in their children's human capital. The results show that a 1 percentage point increase in house prices, when children are 17-years-old, results in roughly 0.8 percent higher annual income for the children of homeowners, and 1.2 percent lower annual income for the children of renters. Additional ...
Working Papers , Paper 11-6

Journal Article
Forecasting real housing price growth in the Eighth District states
Strauss, Jack K.; Rapach, David E. (2007-11)
The authors consider forecasting real housing price growth for the individual states of the Federal Reserve's Eighth District. They first analyze the forecasting ability of a large number of potential predictors of state real housing price growth using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model framework. A number of variables, including the state housing price-to-income ratio, state unemployment rate, and national inflation rate, appear to provide information that is useful for forecasting real housing price growth in many Eighth District states. Given that it is typically difficult to ...
Regional Economic Development , Issue Nov , Pages 33-42

Journal Article
Household financial stress and home prices
Liu, Yang; Sengupta, Rajdeep (2013-01)
The Regional Economist , Issue Jan

Journal Article
A man’s home is his unsold castle
Wirtz, Ronald A.; Pecenka, Clint (2008-07)
District housing markets have faltered, particularly in Minnesota and Wisconsin, but might be returning to historical norms
Fedgazette , Volume 20 , Issue Jul , Pages 19-20

Conference Paper
Understanding recent trends in house prices and homeownership: general discussion
Issing, Otmar (2007)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Journal Article
Through the roof?
Pozdena, Randall (1979)
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Going through the roof?
Johnston, Verle (1973)
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Life cycle patterns and boom-bust dynamics in U.S. housing prices
Sanchez, Juan M.; Martinez, Leonardo; Hatchondo, Juan Carlos (2013)
Home equity did not increase much for households younger than 35 years of age between 1998 and 2007 because the increase in house prices was offset by an equivalent increase in mortgage debt.
Economic Synopses

Speech
How goes the recovery? Challenges for the nation, the region and the Fed
Dudley, William (2010)
Remarks at the University of Rochester, Rochester, New York.
Speech , Paper 36

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