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Keywords:Housing - Prices 

Journal Article
House prices and bank loan performance

This Letter discusses the strong link between house price depreciation and defaults on loans for residential mortgages as well as for land development and construction.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Mortgage, construction, and real estate markets

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Jul , Pages 481-492

Discussion Paper
Why did so many people make so many ex post bad decisions?: the causes of the foreclosure crisis

This paper presents 12 facts about the mortgage market. The authors argue that the facts refute the popular story that the crisis resulted from financial industry insiders deceiving uninformed mortgage borrowers and investors. Instead, they argue that borrowers and investors made decisions that were rational and logical given their ex post overly optimistic beliefs about house prices. The authors then show that neither institutional features of the mortgage market nor financial innovations are any more likely to explain those distorted beliefs than they are to explain the Dutch tulip bubble ...
Public Policy Discussion Paper , Paper 12-2

Working Paper
Local market and national components in house price appreciation

Working Papers , Paper 90-10

Journal Article
House price differentials and dynamics: evidence from the Los Angeles and San Francisco metropolitan areas

This paper applies insights from economic theory to explain recent housing price patterns in California's two largest metropolitan areas. We pay particular attention to the role of migration between metropolitan areas in explaining overall housing price dynamics for a given metropolitan area, and we show how household mobility within a metropolitan area tends to attenuate price pressures in the most supply-constrained places. In reviewing various models' ability to explain California's house price patterns, we also provide some historical perspective on California's urban structure, ...
Economic Review

Speech
Are recent college graduates finding good jobs?

Remarks at the Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
Speech , Paper 109

Speech
Early lessons from recent financial turmoil.

Presented by Eric S. Rosengren, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, for the South Shore Chamber of Commerce, Quincy, MA, March 6, 2008
Speech , Paper 10

Working Paper
Shifting credit standards and the boom and bust in U.S. house prices

The U.S. house price boom has been linked to an unsustainable easing of mortgage credit standards. However, standard time series models of U.S. house prices omit credit constraints and perform poorly in the 2000s. We incorporate data on credit constraints for first-time buyers into a model of U.S. house prices based on the (inverted) demand for housing services. The model yields not only a stable long-run cointegrating relationship, a reasonable speed of adjustment, plausible income and price elasticities and an improved fit, but also sensible estimates of tax credit effects and the possible ...
Working Papers , Paper 1104

Journal Article
When will the U.S. housing market stabilize?

The hope that housing markets had stabilized in mid-2010 was dashed by subsequent declines in home construction and prices (Charts 1 and 2). Homebuilding peaked about five years ago, and housing prices almost four years ago. Amid such a prolonged downturn, a key question becomes, When will the housing market stabilize and support the economic recovery? We suggest that new home construction may stabilize and start recovering slowly within the next year or so. Our econometric results also indicate that national house prices may hit bottom late this year or in early 2012 and then recover slowly.
Economic Letter , Volume 6

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