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Keywords:Housing - Finance 

Journal Article
How home loan modification through the 60/40 plan can save the housing sector

Many well-respected economists have suggested plans for mortgage restructuring built on the idea of share appreciation mortgages, which generate rather complex transactions with conflicting interests between the lender and the homeowner. The 60/40 Plan, however, combines several economic principles adapted to the nature of home loans and appears to provide all the benefits but fewer of the drawbacks of many of these programs, including current government programs such as the Home Affordable Refinance (HARP) and Home Affordable Modification (HAMP) programs. For example, HARP homeowners must ...
Review , Volume 94 , Issue Mar , Pages 102-116

Working Paper
Innovations in mortgage markets and increased spending on housing

Over the past several decades, innovations in the mortgage market have benefited consumers through a variety of channels. Innovations include the lowering of down payment requirements, increased flexibility in repayment schedules, and the reduction of costs associated with extracting equity from homes. To ascertain the ways in which these innovations would alter spending on housing, we develop a model of the home buying and mortgage choice decision that produces a number of testable implications. For instance, the lowering of down payment requirements should result in homeownership rates ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2007-05

Discussion Paper
The affordable housing shortage: considering the problem, causes and solutions

Many observers claim that we are in the midst of an affordable housing shortage or, even worse, an affordable housing crisis. The primary concern is that too many households live in unaffordable rental units. We hope to clarify the current debate by first measuring the size of the problem, then diagnosing its underlying causes and, finally, discussing treatments that policymakers should consider. While our review is hardly exhaustive, we conclude that a shortage of income is largely behind the housing affordability problem despite the current focus on housing. Policymakers should recognize ...
Banking and Policy Studies , Paper 2-02

Journal Article
A look at real housing prices and incomes: some implications for housing affordability and quality

This paper was presented at the conference "Unequal incomes, unequal outcomes? Economic inequality and measures of well-being" as part of session 2, " Affordability of housing for young and poor families." The conference was held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on May 7, 1999. The authors report that the cost of good housing has risen for low-income individuals. The National Association of Realtors affordability index shows that affordability conditions are better today than at any time in the past twenty-five years. However, Gyourko and Tracy's analysis suggests that this ...
Economic Policy Review , Volume 5 , Issue Sep , Pages 63-77

Journal Article
Slight moderation in the housing cycle

FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
Equilibrium mortgage choice and housing tenure decisions with refinancing

The last decade has brought about substantial mortgage innovation and increased refinancing. The objective of the paper is to understand the determinants and implications of mortgage choice in the context of general equilibrium model with incomplete markets. The equilibrium characterization allows us to study the impact of mortgage financing = decisions in the productive economy. We show the influence of different contract characteristics such as the downpayment requirement, repayment structure, and the amortization schedule for mortgage choice. We find that loan products that allow for low ...
Working Papers , Paper 2007-049

Journal Article
Mortgage refinancing

FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
What do financial asset prices say about the housing market?

This paper examines the first three moments of investors' expectations for the housing sector. That is, first, what do financial markets imply about expected future home prices? Second, how much confidence do investors have in their forecast? And, third, do market participants see more downside than upside risk? Housing futures and options, which trade on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), are not yet deep and liquid, and derivatives on homebuilders' shares reflect considerable idiosyncratic information and are therefore an imperfect proxy. Nonetheless, prices suggest that investors ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2006-32

Working Paper
A trend and variance decomposition of the rent-price ratio in housing markets

We use the dynamic Gordon-growth model to decompose the rent-price ratio for owner-occupied housing in the U.S., four Census regions, and twenty-three metropolitan areas into three components: The expected present value of real rental growth, real interest rates, and future housing premia. We use these components to decompose the trend and variance in rent-price ratios for 1975-2005, for an early sub-sample (1975-1996), and for the recent housing boom (1997-2005). We have three main findings. First, variation in expected future real rents accounts for a small share of variation in our sample ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2006-29

Speech
The national and regional economic outlook

Remarks before the Bronx Chamber of Commerce at the New York Botanical Garden, Bronx, New York.
Speech , Paper 68

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