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CDFIs: Crucial Partners in the Public Finance Ecosystem
Community development financial institutions (CDFIs) are vital partners with state and local governments in projects aimed at assisting communities of people with low and moderate incomes (LMI communities) across the United States. Serving as intermediaries between public, philanthropic, and private sources of capital, CDFIs help deploy resources to improve economic opportunity in these communities. Government entities at all levels (federal, state, and local) work with nongovernmental actors, and CDFIs have been such partners, particularly for investments related to infrastructure as well as ...
Newsletter
Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate and the Covid-19 Pandemic
The Covid-19 pandemic had an immediate and substantial impact on the commercial real estate (CRE) market—emptying workplaces, shopping centers, and hotels, thus affecting the cash flows of businesses occupying commercial space and in turn the ability of commercial space owners to meet their debt obligations.Delinquent CRE loans began to surface soon after the pandemic started and remain elevated in 2021. Broad loan delinquencies would represent a potential threat to bank capitalization and solvency, particularly for smaller banks that tend to have higher concentrations in CRE lending. ...
Working Paper
What Are the Financial Systemic Implications of Access and Non-Access to Federal Reserve Deposit Accounts for Central Counterparties?
In this working paper, I examine the interconnections between designated derivatives central counterparties (CCPs) with Federal Reserve deposit accounts and non-designated CCPs and the potential financial stability implications. This working paper notes the interconnections between the non-designated and designated derivatives CCPs through their clearing members and the commercial custodial banks they utilize to hold and transfer collateral. The paper then identifies additional potential contagion risks and financial stability risks, including liquidity risk, market risk, concentration risk, ...
Newsletter
Privately Placed Debt on Life Insurers’ Balance Sheets: Part 2—Increasing Complexity
In this second part of our Chicago Fed Letter series on life insurers’ investments in private placements, we use novel data to assess the growing complexity and liquidity of these investments.1 We start by documenting that these investments have shifted toward issuers in financial and real estate sectors. We then show that this shift reflects more lending to asset managers, including private direct lending funds. One reason for this shift to financial issuers is that these private placements tend to be more complex and less liquid, resulting in higher yields. Lastly, we show that, while ...
Newsletter
Managing Climate Risk in Mortgage Markets: A Role for Derivatives
The world’s communities and economies are already feeling significant effects from global warming and related climate and extreme weather events, as the latest United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) world climate report published in August 2021 makes clear. In some industry sectors, such as insurance and energy, financial market tools have been developed specifically to mitigate the risk of financial loss related to climate. Such tools have yet to be developed for the U.S. mortgage market—one of the world’s largest at roughly $11 trillion as of the end of 2020.
Newsletter
Privately Placed Debt on Life Insurers’ Balance Sheets: Part 1—A Primer
Life insurers buy long-term assets to match their long-term liabilities and hence are among the largest investors in corporate bonds.1 Over the past decade, insurance companies have shifted their corporate bond investments toward privately placed bonds (private placements). A private placement is an unregistered security that is sold to a limited pool of investors, primarily institutional investors, such as investment banks, pension funds, and insurers. While privately placed bonds accounted for 13% of life insurers’ bond investments in 2004, they accounted for over 20% in 2022 (figure 1).
Tracking Holiday Spending with CARTS 2.2 and a New Dashboard
In this Chicago Fed Insights article, we provide an update on the Chicago Fed Advance Retail Trade Summary (CARTS). CARTS is a summary measure of multiple high-frequency consumer spending indicators that aims to improve on the timeliness and reliability of traditional measures of U.S. retail spending.
Working Paper
On the Mechanics of Fiscal Inflations
The goal of this paper is twofold. First, we wish to better explain the relationship between Sargent and Wallace’s (1981) unpleasant monetarist arithmetic, the closely connected fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL), and the monetarist view of inflation. Second, we discuss how the recent inflationary episode has contributed to redistributing real resources from holders of government debt to the public purse. In particular, financial prices before the onset of the Covid pandemic suggest that investors viewed an inflationary shock such as the one we experienced as extremely unlikely, so the ...