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Discussion Paper
Just Released: Hints of Increased Hardship in America’s Oil-Producing Counties

Today, the New York Fed released the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for the first quarter of 2016. Overall debt saw one of its larger increases since deleveraging ended, while delinquency rates for the United States continued to improve and remain at very low levels. Although the overall picture of Americans? liabilities has continued to improve since the financial crisis, we wondered what the variation looks like at local levels. One advantage of our Consumer Credit Panel (CCP), which is based on Equifax credit data, is that we can examine geographic variation in debt and ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20160524

Welcoming remarks: energy interdependence in the western hemisphere conference

President Patrick T. Harker highlights the progress of energy development in the Third District and its importance in fostering economic growth as he welcomes participants to the Global Interdependence Center?s conference. This event brings together leaders in science, technology, and business to discuss ways to collaborate and use energy resources wisely.
Speech , Paper 113

Dallas Fed Energy Survey Results Point to Bleak Outlook for Oil Industry

The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has plunged more than 50 percent since the start of the year as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has taken hold and a dispute between energy giants Saudi Arabia and Russia threatens to flood the market with crude oil.
Dallas Fed Economics

How the Saudi Decision to Launch a Price War Is Reshaping the Global Oil Market

In the second week of March, the already fragile global oil market was rocked by Saudi Arabia’s announcement that it would expand oil production to unprecedented levels, signaling an end to its price cooperation with Russia.
Dallas Fed Economics

Falling Oil Prices Drag Down U.S. Business Investment

The dramatic decline in the price of oil has led to massive investment reductions by U.S. oil and gas producers.
Dallas Fed Economics

How Falling Oil Prices in Early 2020 Weakened the U.S. Economy

The benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price of oil dropped by more than half from Jan. 21 to April 3. This oil price decline has weakened rather than strengthened the U.S. economy, making this event different from past episodes of falling oil prices.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility

Troy Davig, Nida ak?r Melek, Jun Nie, Lee Smith, and Didem Tzemen find changes in expectations of future oil supply relative to demand are the main drivers of the recent oil price decline.
Economic Review , Issue Q III , Pages 5-30

Journal Article
The importance of the energy sector in the Mountain States

Rocky Mountain Economist , Issue Q IV , Pages 1-8

Journal Article
Energy Investment Variability Within the Macroeconomy

Over the past 10 years, the U.S. energy sector has exerted substantial influence?both positive and negative?on overall U.S. business fixed investment. From 2010 to 2014, a time when energy production in the United States was expanding, investment in the energy sector was a boon to aggregate investment. However, following the sharp oil price decline in 2014, the energy sector was a drag on aggregate investment. {{p}} Assessing the energy sector?s contribution to aggregate investment requires an understanding of both the size of the sector as well as its individual segments. David Rodziewicz ...
Economic Review , Issue Q III , Pages 53-75

A New View of the Relationship Between Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations

It has been considered self-evident until recently that oil prices drive inflation expectations, but new evidence calls into question this conclusion.
Dallas Fed Economics



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