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Keywords:Economic indicators 

Journal Article
Evaluating the Eleventh District's Beige Book

In this study, Nathan Balke and Mine Yucel ask whether the Eleventh Federal Reserve District's Beige Book description contains timely information about economic activity within the District. They examine whether the Beige Book description tracks current Texas real gross state product (GSP) growth and current Texas employment growth. They also study whether the Beige Book has information about growth not present in other regional indicators that would have been available to analysts at the time of the Beige Book's release. They find that both the Beige Book summary and the average across ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q IV , Pages 2-10

Journal Article
Forecast evaluation with cross-sectional data: The Blue Chip Surveys

If economic forecasts are to be used for decision making, then being able to evaluate their accuracy is essential. Assessing accuracy using single variables from a forecast is acceptable as a first pass, but this approach has inherent problems. This article addresses some of these problems by evaluating and comparing the general accuracy of a set of multivariate forecasts over time. ; Using the methodology developed in Eisenbeis, Waggoner, and Zha (2002), the authors compare the economic forecasts in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators Survey. The survey, published monthly since 1977, contains ...
Economic Review , Volume 88 , Issue Q2 , Pages 17-31

Journal Article
The benchmark U.S. Treasury market: recent performance and possible alternatives

Economic Policy Review , Issue Apr , Pages 129-145

Report
Are the preliminary announcements of some macroeconomic variables rational?

Research Paper , Paper 9035

Journal Article
New measures of the work force

FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
Forecasting output with the composite leading index: an ex ante analysis

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 90

Journal Article
New tools for analyzing the Mexican economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators

New composite indexes presented in this article could prove useful in analyzing and forecasting the Mexican economy. Keith Phillips, Lucinda Vargas, and Victor Zarnowitz present composite indexes of leading and coincident indexes for Mexico. In constructing the indexes, the economists use an approach similar to that developed by the National Bureau of Economic Research to create the composite indexes of U.S. economic activity. The authors classify peaks and troughs in the Mexican business cycle since 1980. Using these business cycle turning points, the authors determine which indicators ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II

Journal Article
District economic developments

Econ Focus , Volume 7 , Issue Spr , Pages 40-41

Journal Article
District digest: Economic trends across the region

"The great recession and state unemployment insurance funds," by Richard E. Kaglic: pg 45-47
Econ Focus , Volume 16 , Issue 1Q , Pages 45-47; 48-51

Journal Article
Business recovery continues

Review , Volume 55 , Issue Feb , Pages 2-7

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