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Working Paper
A tractable estimator for general mixed multinomial logit models
James, Jonathan
(2012)
The mixed logit is a framework for incorporating unobserved heterogeneity in discrete choice models in a general way. These models are difficult to estimate because they result in a complicated incomplete data likelihood. This paper proposes a new approach for estimating mixed logit models. The estimator is easily implemented as iteratively re-weighted least squares: the well known solution for complete data likelihood logits. The main benefit of this approach is that it requires drastically fewer evaluations of the simulated likelihood function, making it significantly faster than ...
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 1219
Conference Paper
Liquidity and fire sales - discussion
Kashyap, Anil K.
(2005)
Proceedings
Working Paper
Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets
Neely, Christopher J.
(2001)
Allen and Karjalainen (1999) used genetic programming to develop optimal ex ante trading rules for the S&P 500 index. They found no evidence that the returns to these rules were higher than buy-and-hold returns but some evidence that the rules had predictive ability. This comment investigates the risk-adjusted usefulness of such rules and more fully characterizes their predictive content. These results extend Allen and Karjalainen's (1999) conclusion by showing that although the rules' relative performance improves, there is no evidence that the rules significantly outperform the buy-and-hold ...
Working Papers
, Paper 1999-015
Working Paper
\"Peso problem\" explanations for term structure anomalies
Bekaert, Geert; Hodrick, Robert J.; Marshall, David A.
(1997)
We examine the empirical evidence on the expectation hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector-autoregressive methodology. We argue that anomalies in the U.S. term structure, documented by Campbell and Shiller (1991), may be due to a generalized peso problem in which a high-interest rate regime occurred less frequently in the sample of U.S. data than was rationally anticipated. We formalize this idea as a regime-switching model of short-term interest rates estimated with ...
Working Paper Series, Issues in Financial Regulation
, Paper WP-97-07
Conference Paper
The move toward free trade zones
Krugman, Paul R.
(1991)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole
Conference Paper
International payments imbalances of the East Asian developing economies
Sundberg, Mark W.; Sachs, Jeffrey D.
(1988)
Conference Series ; [Proceedings]
, Volume 32
, Pages 103-156
Working Paper
Growth and inflation: a cross-country study
Motley, Brian
(1994)
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
, Paper 94-08
Conference Paper
How do trade and financial integration affect the relationship between growth and volatility?
Terrones, Marco E.; Prasad, Eswar S.; Kose, M. Ayhan
(2004-06)
The influential work of Ramey and Ramey (1995) highlighted an empirical relationship that has now come to be regarded as conventional wisdom - that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in the context of globalization - a term typically used to describe the phenomenon of growing international trade and financial integration that has intensified since the mid-1980s. We employ various econometric techniques and a comprehensive new dataset to analyze the link between growth and volatility. Our findings suggest that, while the basic negative ...
Proceedings
, Issue Jun
Report
How to use econometric models to forecast
Supel, Thomas M.
(1975)
Staff Report
, Paper 12
Conference Paper
Liquidity and fire sales
LeRoy, Stephen F.; Kelly, David L.
(2005)
A ?fire sale? occurs when the owner of a good offers it for sale at a price strictly below the price that some buyers would willingly pay for the good. He does so because the advantage of the quick sale made possible by the lower price outweighs the higher price that other potential buyers would pay, given the likely delay in locating these buyers in the latter case. Fire sales can occur only in illiquid markets. This paper generalizes earlier treatments of illiquid markets by assuming that the asset can be offered for sale at any time, rather than only after its owner loses his capacity to ...
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 items
Federal Reserve District, 6th 1 items
Federal Reserve System - Independence 1 items
Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation 1 items
Federal funds rate 1 items
Financial institutions 1 items
Financial leverage 1 items
Fiscal policy - United States 1 items
Game theory 1 items
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (Organization) 1 items
Global financial crisis 1 items
Going public (Securities) 1 items
Government securities 1 items
Government spending policy 1 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 1 items
Hendry, David F. 1 items
Households - Economic aspects 1 items
Housing policy 1 items
Human capital 1 items
Hungary 1 items
Income tax 1 items
Indonesia 1 items
Industrial capacity 1 items
Industrial productivity - Measurement 1 items
Industries 1 items
Inflation risk 1 items
Information technology 1 items
Information theory 1 items
Inheritance and transfer tax 1 items
Inventories 1 items
Investments, Foreign 1 items
Investments, Foreign - United States 1 items
Jackknife (Statistics) 1 items
Job analysis 1 items
Junk bonds 1 items
Labor productivity 1 items
Labor turnover 1 items
Loans, Foreign 1 items
Manufactures 1 items
Medical care 1 items
Mexico 1 items
Monetary policy - Sweden 1 items
Moral hazard 1 items
Municipal finance 1 items
New England 1 items
New Jersey 1 items
New Zealand 1 items
Nonlinear theories 1 items
Note issuance facility 1 items
Off balance sheet financing 1 items
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 1 items
Payroll tax 1 items
Petroleum industry and trade 1 items
Petroleum products 1 items
Poland 1 items
Political science 1 items
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Prime rate 1 items
Public policy 1 items
Real-time data 1 items
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Reserve Bank of Australia 1 items
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 1 items
Retail trade 1 items
Robust control 1 items
Savings and loan associations 1 items
Securities 1 items
Sensitivity theory (Mathematics) 1 items
Small business 1 items
Stocks 1 items
Stocks - Rate of return 1 items
Subsidies 1 items
Tax incentives 1 items
Tax rebates 1 items
Tobin's q 1 items
Trade adjustment assistance 1 items
Velocity of money 1 items
Wealth 1 items
Won, Korean 1 items
bank charters 1 items
capital asset pricing model 1 items
letters of credit 1 items
options 1 items
small business finance 1 items
technological innovations 1 items
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