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Journal Article
U.S. coins: forecasting change

Our next article talks about change-as in coins. Every year, the government produces about 70 new coins for every man, woman, and child. But the economy's need for coins can vary from year to year. So how do the U.S. Mint, which makes the coins, and the Federal Reserve, which distributes them, decide how many coins the economy needs? In "U.S. Coins: Forecasting Change," Dean Croushore highlights some facts about coins and describes how demand for change is forecast.
Business Review , Issue Q2 , Pages 6-13

Journal Article
Seigniorage in the United States: how much does the U.S. government make from money production?

Review , Issue Mar , Pages 29-40

Journal Article
The problem of small change in early Argentina

Economic Quarterly , Volume 92 , Issue Spr , Pages 93-111

Working Paper
Forecasting coin demand.

Shortages of coins in 1999 and 2000 motivated the authors to develop models for forecasting coin demand. A variety of models were developed, tested, and used in realtime forecasting. This paper describes the models that were developed and examines the forecast errors from the models both in quasi-ex-ante forecasting exercises and in realtime use. Tests for forecast efficiency are run on each model. Real-time forecasts are examined. The authors conclude with suggestions for further refinements of the models.
Working Papers , Paper 02-15

Working Paper
A model of bimetallism

Bimetallism has been the subject of considerable debate: Was it a viable monetary system? Was it a desirable system? In our model, the (exogenous and stochastic) amount of each metal can be split between monetary uses to satisfy a cash-in-advance constraint, and nonmonetary uses in which the stock of uncoined metal yields utility. The ratio of the monies in the cash-in-advance constraint is endogenous. Bimetallism is feasible: we find a continuum of steady states (in the certainty case) indexed by the constant exchange rate of the monies; we also prove existence for a range of fixed exchange ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-98-8

Journal Article
Lessons from the history of money

This article looks at eight centuries of monetary history and asks: What happened and what have we learned? Money evolved from commodity-based to purely fiduciary, and in the trial-and-error process, governments learned some basic truths about price stability and the management of a sound currency.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 22 , Issue Q I

Solving the problem of small change

Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Oct

What’s a penny (or a nickel) really worth?

On December 14, 2006, the United States Mint announced new regulations to limit the melting and exportation of pennies and nickels. The goal is to prevent a shortage of small change in circulation. This article looks at the problem in historical context and suggests solutions.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Feb

Journal Article
Avoiding a meltdown: managing the value of small change

To prevent a shortage of small change, the U.S. Department of the Treasury recently prohibited the melting and exportation of pennies and other coins. The problem arises because pennies and nickels are made of inappropriately expensive material, and there is or soon will be a profit to be made from transferring their content to alternative uses. The author provides a historical context for the problem of small change and discusses possible remedies
Economic Perspectives , Volume 32 , Issue Q I , Pages 17-28


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