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Journal Article
Alternative Indicators for Chinese Economic Activity Using Sparse PLS Regression
Groen, Jan J. J.; Nattinger, Michael (2020-10-01)
Official Chinese GDP growth rates have been remarkably smooth over the past decade, in contrast with alternative Chinese economic data. To better identify Chinese business cycles, we construct a sparse partial least squares (PLS) factor from a wide array of Chinese higher-frequency data, targeted toward variables that are highly correlated with important aspects of the Chinese economy. Our resulting alternative growth indicator clearly identifies Chinese business cycle fluctuations and it performs well both in out-of-sample testing for China as well as when applied to other economies. Using ...
Economic Policy Review , Volume 26 , Issue 4 , Pages 39-68

Conference Paper
Monetary policy and inflation in China
Cheng, Hang-Sheng (1987)
Proceedings

Journal Article
Countering contagion: Does China's experience offer a blueprint?
Ahearne, Alan G.; Fernald, John G.; Loungani, Prakash (2001-10)
China did not succumb to the Asian crisis of 1997-99, despite two apparent sources of vulnerability: a weak financial system and increased export competition from the Asian crisis economies. This article argues that both sources of vulnerability were more apparent than real. China's experience (especially its use of capital controls) does not offer a blueprint for other countries, because other countries would not want to replicate China's inefficient, non-market-oriented financial system.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 25 , Issue Q IV

Journal Article
Gauging the Strength of Chinese GDP Growth
Nie, Jun (2016-02-29)
Jun Nie constructs an alternative measure to evaluate the strength of Chinese GDP growth and identifies potential risks to China?s growth in the near term.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Capital in and out of China
Fu, Dong (2000-03)
Southwest Economy , Issue Mar , Pages 10, 12

Conference Paper
Building the legal and regulatory framework
Walker, John L. (2000-06)
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 44 , Issue Jun , Pages 31-88

Journal Article
Sectoral Impacts of Trade Wars
Wang, Ping; Cheng, Wan-Jung (2022)
In recent years, we have witnessed rising trade protectionism with broad ranges of tariffs imposed on intermediate products. In this article, we develop an accounting framework to evaluate the sectoral impacts of the current U.S.-China trade war. We find that U.S. final demand and intermediate demand for goods produced by China decline significantly, with the largest losses occurring in the Electronic and ICT (information and communications technology) industry and the Electrical industry. We obtain sizable deadweight losses for the United States, particularly in the Electronic and ICT; ...
Review , Volume 104 , Issue 1 , Pages 17-40

Working Paper
What are the Price Effects of Trade? Evidence from the U.S. and Implications for Quantitative Trade Models
Sager, Erick; Jaravel, Xavier (2019-09-20)
This paper finds that U.S. consumer prices fell substantially due to increased trade with China. With comprehensive price micro-data and two complementary identification strategies, we estimate that a 1pp increase in import penetration from China causes a 1.91% decline in consumer prices. This price response is driven by declining markups for domestically-produced goods, and is one order of magnitude larger than in standard trade models that abstract from strategic price-setting. The estimates imply that trade with China increased U.S. consumer surplus by about $400,000 per displaced job, and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2019-068

Journal Article
The Rise of Asia as a Destination for U.S. Patenting
Santacreu, Ana Maria; LaBelle, Jesse (2021-12-03)
China has become one of the main destinations where U.S. inventors seek to protect their intellectual property.
Economic Synopses , Issue 27 , Pages 1-2

Periodic Essay
The development of payment and settlement systems in China
Marks, Cindy (2008-04)
This Asia Focus summarizes recent changes in Chinas payment and settlement systems and considers how China is addressing technology and risk management concerns as it works to create a more sophisticated, international financial sector.
Asia Focus , Issue Apr

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