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Corporate Bond Spreads and the Pandemic II: Heterogeneity across Sectors
Ebsim, Mahdi; Kozlowski, Julian; Faria-e-Castro, Miguel (2020-04-14)
The COVID-19 pandemic’s effects on firm borrowing costs have been heterogeneous, with some sectors being more affected than others.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Movements in the term structure of interest rates
Bliss, Robert R. (1997-10-04)
Bond prices tend to move together. Stocks tend to go their own way. This distinction requires completely different approaches to managing risks for these securities. For equities the emphasis is on reducing idiosyncratic risk through portfolio diversification. For interest rate-sensitive securities it is on precisely balancing a portfolio to achieve the desired exposure to systematic risk factors. ; Hedging to reduce or eliminate the common factors influencing an interest rate-sensitive portfolio's value requires a model of interest rate behavior. This article reviews and extends previous ...
Economic Review , Volume 82 , Issue Q 4 , Pages 16-33

Working Paper
Treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads: an empirical analysis
Duffee, Gregory R. (1996)
This paper empirically examines the relation between the Treasury term structure and spreads of investment grade corporate bond yields over Treasuries. I find that noncallable bond yield spreads fall when the level of the Treasury term structure rises. The extent of this decline depends on the initial credit quality of the bond; the decline is small for Aaa-rated bonds and large for Baa-rated bonds. The role of the business cycle in generating this pattern is explored, as is the link between yield spreads and default risk. I also argue that yield spreads based on commonly-used bond yield ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 96-20

Journal Article
Review essay on Junk Bonds: How High Yield Securities Restructured America by Glenn Yago, 1991
Cohen, Hugh (1993-07)
Economic Review , Issue Jul , Pages 28-31

Working Paper
Defaults of original issue high-yield convertible bonds
Rosengren, Eric S. (1992)
The success in marketing original issue high-yield bonds has generated significant interest in their default experience. Studies comparing defaults to the par value of outstanding issues such as Altman (1987), Altman and Nammacher (1985), and Weinstein (1987) have found relatively low default rates. However, these studies understate default rates because of the rapid increase in the par value of outstanding issues and because cumulative default rates increase with years from issuance. Two recent studies by Altman (1989) and Asquith, Mullins and Wolff (AMW) (1989) have corrected these problems ...
Working Papers , Paper 92-6

Report
The structure, growth, and recent performance of the Latin American bond market
Clark, John (1994)
Research Paper , Paper 9416

Report
The inefficiency of a nominal national debt
Wallace, Neil; Bryant, John (1977)
Staff Report , Paper 28

Report
Inflation risk in the U.S. yield curve: the usefulness of indexed bonds
Remolona, Eli M.; Gong, Frank F. (1996)
The inflation-indexed bonds the U.S. Treasury plans to issue will reduce the expected borrowing cost if the yield curve reflects a risk premium for inflation. In the United Kingdom, indexed bonds are also used to extract inflationary expectations and thus to guide monetary policy. The bonds will produce a more reliable measure of such expectations if the inflation risk premium is taken into account. We estimate such a risk premium for the United States by means of a two-factor affine-yield model of the term structure. The model allows both the inflation risk premium and real term premium to ...
Research Paper , Paper 9637

Working Paper
Stock market uncertainty and the relation between stock and bond returns
Stivers, Chris; Sun, Licheng (2002)
The authors examine how the co-movement between daily stock and Treasury bond returns varies with stock market uncertainty. They use the lagged implied volatility from equity index options to provide an objective, observable, and dynamic measure of stock market uncertainty. The authors find that stock and bond returns tend to move substantially together during periods of lower stock market uncertainty. However, stock and bond returns tend to exhibit little relation or even a negative relation during periods of high stock market uncertainty. The authors? findings have implications for ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 2002-3

Journal Article
How long is a long-term investment?
Shen, Pu (2005-01)
Conventional wisdom tells us that stocks tend to outperform government bonds in the long term. That is, if stocks are held long enough, they are usually better investments because their total return is likely to be higher than the return on bonds. While this view may be correct in principle, in practice a crucial question remains: How long is long enough? The answer is important to every investor, not just the wealthy few. With employers relying increasingly on defined-contribution retirement plans, employees must make their own saving and investment decisions. ; Shen reviews historical ...
Economic Review , Volume 90 , Issue Q I , Pages 5-32

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