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Keywords:Balance of trade 

Speech
The global saving glut and the U.S. current account deficit

a speech at the Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economics, Richmond, Virginia, March 10, 2005 and the Homer Jones Lecture, St. Louis, Missouri, on April 14, 2005
Speech , Paper 77

Conference Paper
Interest rates, exchange rates and international adjustment

It is generally accepted that adjustment must occur to ultimately remove the imbalances from the international monetary system. The dispute has been between a view that the system will end abruptly and soon and a view that is will last for years more with a smooth adjustment in interest rates and exchange rates. Here, we presume that the basic system that has dominated at least the last five years will continue for years more, while converging to a sustainable equilibrium. With this system as a background, we examine the behavior of interest rates and exchange rates following a variety of ...
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 51

Journal Article
Evolution of U.S. trade with China

Despite the improvements in the overall U.S. trade balance in the latter half of the 1980s, the U.S. trade deficit with China has widened significantly. This article investigates the factors underlying this growing deficit and analyzes how growth in imports from China has affected the pattern of U.S. imports from other Asian economies, notably Hong Kong.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Win , Pages 47-54

Working Paper
Could capital gains smooth a current account rebalancing?

A narrowing of the U.S. current account deficit through exchange rate movements is likely to entail a substantial depreciation of the dollar, as stressed in the widely cited contribution by Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005). We assess how the adjustment is affected by the high degree of international financial integration in the world economy. A growing body of research stresses the increasing leverage in international financial positions, with industrialized economies holding substantial and growing financial claims on each other. Exchange rate movements then leads to valuations effects as the ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2006-03

Speech
The U.S. economic outlook

Remarks at the Washington and Lee University H. Parker Willis Lecture in Political Economics, Lexington, Virginia.
Speech , Paper 20

Journal Article
The recent U.S. trade deficit - no cause for panic

Review , Volume 60 , Issue Apr , Pages 2-7

Conference Paper
International payments imbalances of the East Asian developing economies

Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 32 , Pages 103-156

Journal Article
Understanding the evolution of trade deficits: trade elasticities of industrialized countries

In this article, the authors present updated trade elasticities?measures of how much imports and exports change in response to income and price changes?for the U.S. and six other industrialized countries, collectively known as the Group of Seven. They find that the imports and exports of these countries are slightly more responsive to changes in a country?s total income over a period that ends in 2006, compared with a period that ends in 1994.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 31 , Issue Q IV , Pages 2-17

Working Paper
Financial market developments and economic activity during current account adjustments in industrial economies

Much has been written about prospects for U.S. current account adjustment, including the possibility of what is sometimes referred to as a "disorderly correction": a sharp fall in the exchange rate that boosts interest rates, depresses stock prices, and weakens economic activity. This paper assesses some of the empirical evidence bearing on the likelihood of the disorderly correction scenario, drawing on the experience of previous current account adjustments in industrial economies. We examined the paths of key economic performance indicators before, during, and after the onset of ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 827

Journal Article
U.S. international transactions in 1991

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue May

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anonymous 6 items

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Balance of trade 110 items

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