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Keywords:Balance of trade 

Conference Paper
International payments imbalances of the East Asian developing economies

Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 32 , Pages 103-156

Journal Article
Growth and the current account deficit

National Economic Trends , Issue Dec

Working Paper
Tariffs and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from the USA

This paper examines the macroeconomic impact of tariffs. The effects of unilateral tariff changes are reviewed in a variety of theoretical models. Three different sets of data are consistent with the hypothesis that tariff rates have no significant effect on a system consisting of the real exchange rate, the real trade balance, and real output (both foreign and domestic) .
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 365

Journal Article
Understanding the evolution of trade deficits: trade elasticities of industrialized countries

In this article, the authors present updated trade elasticities?measures of how much imports and exports change in response to income and price changes?for the U.S. and six other industrialized countries, collectively known as the Group of Seven. They find that the imports and exports of these countries are slightly more responsive to changes in a country?s total income over a period that ends in 2006, compared with a period that ends in 1994.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 31 , Issue Q IV , Pages 2-17

Conference Paper
Will the Bretton Woods 2 regime unravel soon? the risk of a hard landing in 2005-2006

Proceedings , Issue Feb

Journal Article
The U.S. consumption boom and trade deficit

National Economic Trends , Issue Oct

Conference Paper
The U.S. current account deficit: collateral for a total return swap

Proceedings , Issue Feb

Working Paper
Asset prices, exchange rates and the current account

This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity market shocks and housing price shocks have been major determinants of the US current account in the past, accounting for up to 32% of the movements of the US trade balance at a horizon of 20 quarters. By contrast, shocks to the real exchange rate have been much less relevant, explaining less than 7% and ...
Working Papers , Paper 2008-031

Speech
The global saving glut and the U.S. current account deficit

a speech at the Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economics, Richmond, Virginia, March 10, 2005 and the Homer Jones Lecture, St. Louis, Missouri, on April 14, 2005
Speech , Paper 77

Journal Article
The U.S. trade deficit: made in China?

Rapid growth of the U.S. bilateral trade deficit with China has promoted a widespread view that the overall trade deficit is "made in China." The authors examine the probable consequences of increased protection directed toward U.S. imports from China. Their appraisal of recent and prospective U.S. trade policy focuses on textiles and apparel?sectors where the growth of imports from China has been prominent. They also consider the likely effects of yuan appreciation on the bilateral and overall trade deficits.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 29 , Issue Q IV , Pages 2-18

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anonymous 6 items

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