The economic outlook and the Fed's balance sheet: the issue of \\"how\\" versus \\"when\\"
Remarks at the Association for a Better New York Breakfast Meeting, Grand Hyatt, New York.
AUTHORS: Dudley, William
Duality and arbitrage with transactions costs: theory and applications
Recent advances in duality theory have made it easier to discover relationships between asset prices and the portfolio choices based on them. But this approach to arbitrage-free securities markets has yet to be extended and applied to economies with transactions costs. This paper does so, within the context of a general state-preference model of securities markets. Several applications are developed to illustrate the nature of the theory and its potential to resolve a host of issues surrounding the effects of transactions costs on securities markets.
AUTHORS: Stutzer, Michael J.
Asset market hangovers and economic growth
During the early 1990s, asset prices and investment were unusually weak throughout the industrial world. This paper highlights this stylized fact, and connects it with another: in most of the industrial world, asset markets boomed for several years before collapsing around 1989. The paper suggests that the sluggish asset markets and investment growth of the early 1990s may represent, in part, symptoms of an "asset market hangover," that is, the lingering effects on real activity of collapsing speculative bubbles. The analysis relies on cross-country data for equity and real estate markets in all major and some minor industrial countries.
AUTHORS: Osler, Carol L.; Higgins, Matthew
Inducing agents to report hidden trades: a theory of an intermediary
When contracts are unobserved, agents may have the incentive to promise the same asset to multiple counterparties and subsequently default. The author constructs an optimal mechanism that induces agents to reveal all their trades voluntarily. The mechanism allows agents to report every contract they enter, and it makes public the names of agents who have reached some prespecified position limit. In some cases, an agent's position limit must be higher than the number of contracts he enters in equilibrium. The mechanism has some features of a clearinghouse. ; Supersedes Working Paper 09-10
AUTHORS: Leitner, Yaron
Performance and asset management effects of bank acquisitions
An analysis of how bank acquisitions affect the performance and asset management of the acquired bank, its acquirer, and the newly formed banking organization, showing that after the acquisition, the acquired bank is transformed along a wide variety of dimensions such that it becomes a replica of the acquirer.
AUTHORS: Craig, Ben R.; Santos, Joao A. C.
Holding company interest-rate sensitivity: before and after October 1979
Since October 1979, market interest-rate movements have been frequent and large. Over the same time period, for a variety of reasons, competition has intensified in both bank loan and deposit markets. These developments have changed the benefits and costs of various types of asset/liability management strategies or alternatively a financial institution's level of interest-rate risk exposure. In this study, the rate-sensitivity postures of a sample of holding companies are examined over the 1977 to 1983 interval to determine whether and how asset/liability management strategies changed after October 1979. In general, the evidence suggests that holding companies reduced their exposure to rate risk in the immediate post-October 1979 period. However, this change does not appear to have been permanent. the data show a reversal of this pattern at a number of companies in 1982 and 1983.
AUTHORS: Whalen, Gary
The relationship between returns to risky lending and Gap management
AUTHORS: Morgan, George E.
Economic theory and asset bubbles
The author summarizes what economic theory tells us about when asset price bubbles can occur and what the welfare implications are from bursting them. In some cases, bursting a bubble may make society worse off by exacerbating the market distortions that give rise to the bubble in the first place.
AUTHORS: Barlevy, Gadi
Liability management, bank loans and deposit \\"market\\" disequilibrium
AUTHORS: Scadding, John L.; Judd, John P.
Gap management: managing interest rate risk in banks and thrifts
AUTHORS: Toevs, Alden L.