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Journal Article
Price stability and regional diversity
Hoskins, W. Lee (1991-05)
An argument against using short-term monetary policy to alleviate regional economic shocks and an analysis of how regional economic diversity lends strength to the goal of price stability as the Federal Reserve System's sole monetary policy focus.
Economic Commentary , Issue May

Journal Article
Comparing manufacturing export growth across states: what accounts for the differences?
Pollard, Patricia S.; Coughlin, Cletus C. (2001-01)
The expansion of United States manufacturing exports has spread unevenly across states. Cletus C. Coughlin and Patricia S. Pollard use shift-share analysis to account for the difference between a state?s manufacturing export growth and national manufacturing export growth between 1988 and 1998. Three effects are examined. The industry mix effect indicates that a state should have experienced export growth above the national average if its exports were relatively more concentrated in industries whose exports expanded faster than the national average. The destination effect indicates that a ...
Review , Volume 83 , Issue Jan , Pages 25-40

Journal Article
Shocked, only not: false positive cases of employment decline
Mayberry, Dan (2005-11)
Fedgazette , Volume 17 , Issue Nov , Pages 8

Report
Assessing high house prices: bubbles, fundamentals, and misperceptions
Himmelberg, Charles P.; Mayer, Christopher J.; Sinai, Todd (2005)
We construct measures of the annual cost of single-family housing for 46 metropolitan areas in the United States over the last 25 years and compare them with local rents and incomes as a way of judging the level of housing prices. Conventional metrics like the growth rate of house prices, the price-to-rent ratio, and the price-to-income ratio can be misleading because they fail to account both for the time series pattern of real long-term interest rates and predictable differences in the long-run growth rates of house prices across local markets. These factors are especially important in ...
Staff Reports , Paper 218

Working Paper
Forecasting structural change with a regional econometric input-output model
Sonis, Michael; Israilevich, Philip R.; Hewings, Geoffrey J. D.; Schindler, Graham (1996)
The sophistication of regional economic models has been demonstrated in several ways, most recently in the form of linking several modeling systems or in the expansion in the number of equations that can be manipulated successfully to produce impact analyses or forecasts. In this paper, an alternative perspective is employed. What do regional macro-level forecasts indicate about the process of structural change? A new methodology is illustrated that enables analysts to make forecasts of detailed structural change in the interindustry relations in an economy. Using a regional ...
Working Paper Series, Regional Economic Issues , Paper WP-96-2

Journal Article
Current economic conditions in the Eighth Federal Reserve District. St. Louis Zone
anonymous (2008-09)
Burgundy Books , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Job shocks: resuscitation or suffocation?
Wirtz, Ronald A. (2005-11)
How local economies react after suffering a major decline in employment
Fedgazette , Volume 17 , Issue Nov , Pages 1

Journal Article
Regional wrap-up '74: Doldrums descend on district economy
Keen, Howard (1975-03)
Business Review , Issue Mar , Pages 16-22

Journal Article
Ninth District economy slips into a recession
Grunewald, Rob; Madden, Tobias (2009-01)
Ninth Federal Reserve District 2009 Economic Forecast
Fedgazette , Volume 21 , Issue Jan , Pages 12-14

Newsletter
Fishing for work: the Midwest looks at possible job lures
Testa, William A. (1988-07)
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Jul

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