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Journal Article
Derivative securities use grows as banks strive to hedge risks
anonymous (1999-01)
Financial Update , Volume 12 , Issue Jan , Pages 8-9

Working Paper
The role of warrants in corporate reorganizations
Longhofer, Stanley D. (1995)
An argument that informational asymmetries explain why the original shareholders of some firms emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings with stock in the reorganized company, while others receive warrants. By proposing a reorganization plan in which they receive warrants, the original stockholders of a firm with good future prospects can signal their superior information to the creditors in a way that firms with poor prospects will not wish to mimic.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9512

Report
Is implied correlation worth calculating? Evidence from foreign exchange options and historical data
Lopez, Jose A.; Walter, Christian (1997)
This paper examines the performance of implied correlations in forecasting subsequently realized correlations between exchange rates. Implied correlations are derived from sets of implied volatilities on the three exchange rates in a currency trio. We compare the forecasting performance of the implied correlations from two currency trios with markedly different characteristics over two forecast horizons (one month and three months) against a set of alternative correlation forecasts based on time-series data. ; For the correlations in the USD/DEM/ JPY currency trio, we find that the ...
Research Paper , Paper 9730

Working Paper
Generating Options-Implied Probability Densities to Understand Oil Market Events
Londono, Juan M.; Datta, Deepa Dhume; Ross, Landon J. (2014-10-29)
We investigate the informational content of options-implied probability density functions (PDFs) for the future price of oil. Using a semiparametric variant of the methodology in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978), we investigate the fit and smoothness of distributions derived from alternative PDF estimation methods, and develop a set of robust summary statistics. Using PDFs estimated around episodes of high geopolitical tensions, oil supply disruptions, and macroeconomic data releases, we explore the extent to which oil price movements are expected or unexpected, and whether agents believe ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 1122

Journal Article
Stocks, bonds, options, futures, and portfolio insurance: a rose by any other name
Fortune, Peter (1995-07)
Trading volume and open interest in options and futures contracts on stock indices, equities, and interest rate instruments traded on world exchanges have experienced remarkable growth. However, this growth has been accompanied by controversy about the proper role of financial derivatives and the potential for abuse. Prominent attention has been given to losses by major corporations, broker-related short-term mutual funds, and municipal agencies.> The public debate about "derivatives" has promoted the impression that the heart of the problem has been a proliferation of brand new ways of ...
New England Economic Review , Issue Jul , Pages 25-46

Working Paper
Central bank intervention and the volatility of foreign exchange rates: evidence from the options market
Bonser-Neal, Catherine; Tanner, Glenn (1995)
This paper tests the effects of central bank intervention on the ex ante volatility of $/DM and $/Yen exchange rates. In contrast to previous research which employed GARCH estimates of conditional volatility, we estimate ex ante volatility using the implied volatilities of currency options prices. We also control for the effects of other macroeconomic announcements. We find little support for the hypothesis that central bank intervention decreased expected exchange rate volatility between 1985 and 1991. Federal Reserve intervention was generally associated with a positive change in exante ...
Research Working Paper , Paper 95-04

Journal Article
Path-dependent options: valuation and applications
Hunter, William C.; Stowe, David W. (1992-07)
Economic Review , Issue Jul , Pages 30-43

Journal Article
Margin requirements on equity instruments
Sofianos, George (1988-07)
Quarterly Review , Volume 13 , Issue Sum , Pages 47-60

Report
Option-implied term structures
Vogt, Erik (2014-12-01)
This paper proposes a nonparametric sieve regression framework for pricing the term structure of option spanning portfolios. The framework delivers closed-form, nonparametric option pricing and hedging formulas through basis function expansions that grow with the sample size. Novel confidence intervals quantify term structure estimation uncertainty. The framework is applied to estimating the term structure of variance risk premia and finds that a short-run component dominates market excess return predictability. This finding is inconsistent with existing asset pricing models that seek to ...
Staff Reports , Paper 706

Working Paper
Interest rate option pricing with volatility humps
Ritchken, Peter H.; Chuang, Iyuan (1997)
A development of a simple model in which interest rate claims are priced in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton paradigm and so incorporate full information on the term structure. The volatility structure for forward rates is humped and includes as a special case the exponentially dampened volatility structure used in the generalized Vasicek model.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9714

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