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Keywords:noninflationary rate of unemployment 

Journal Article
Estimating Natural Rates of Unemployment

Before the pandemic, the U.S. unemployment rate reached a historic low that was close to estimates of its underlying longer-run value and the short-run level associated with an absence of inflationary pressures. After two turbulent years, unemployment has returned to its pre-pandemic low, and the estimated underlying longer-run unemployment rate appears largely unchanged. However, economic disruptions appear to have pushed up the short-run noninflationary rate substantially, as high as 6%. Examining these different measures of the natural rate of unemployment can provide useful insights for ...
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2022 , Issue 14 , Pages 05

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