Employment Trends before and after Business Expansion Peaks
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2024-08-20)
Nonfarm payroll and civilian employment are two measures of the U.S. labor market. How do they behave in the months leading up to a business expansion peak?
On the Economy

How Common Are Monthly Payroll Job Losses during Business Expansions?
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2025-09-30)
This analysis of the frequency of monthly job losses during U.S. economic expansions finds periodic declines in payroll employment are a regular occurrence.
On the Economy