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Working Paper
Time-varying oil price volatility and macroeconomic aggregates
We illustrate the theoretical relation among output, consumption, investment, and oil price volatility in a real business-cycle model. The model incorporates demand for oil by a firm, as an intermediate input, and by a household, used in conjunction with a durable good. We estimate a stochastic volatility process for the real price of oil over the period 1986?2011 and utilize the estimated process in a nonlinear approximation of the model. For realistic calibrations, an increase in oil price volatility produces a temporary decrease in durable spending, while precautionary savings motives lead ...
Journal Article
Shrinking beaches, swelling problems
Man and nature war over beaches. Who wins? Who loses? Who pays?
Journal Article
The Greenbrier: West Virginia's diamond
Showcased by the beauty of White Sulphur Springs, W.Va., this one-of-a-kind resort has built its reputation on 218 years of tradition and service.
Journal Article
The nature and origins of the U.S. energy crisis
Journal Article
Market conditions cause gasoline price hikes
Journal Article
Research spotlight : Do natural resources support economic growth?
Related links: https://www.richmondfed.org/-/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/econ_focus/2010/q4/research_spotlight_weblinks.cfm
Journal Article
Lewis and Clark: the adventure begins, again
Working Paper
A test of the theory of exhaustible resources