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Working Paper
The Monetary Base in Allan Meltzer's Analytical Framework
This analysis of Allan Meltzer?s analytical framework focuses on the role that Meltzer assigned to the monetary base. For many years, Meltzer suggested that central banks should use the monetary base as their policy instrument, in place of a short-term nominal interest rate. However, he recognized that in practice central banks did not follow this prescription. He believed that the monetary base could play an important role even when an interest rate was used as the instrument. Meltzer?s reasoning was twofold: (i) The monetary base might shed light on the behavior of important asset prices ...
Working Paper
Reaffirming the Influence of Milton Friedman on U.K. Economic Policy
This paper finds a significant influence of Milton Friedman on U.K. economic policy from the 1970s onward, and especially during the period of the Thatcher Government. The finding is based on a consideration of statements by policymakers and key economic advisers, as well as an analysis of Friedman?s commentary in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s on U.K. economic developments. Explicit, public acknowledgments of Friedman's influence were given by Margaret Thatcher, Chancellor of the Exchequer Geoffrey Howe, Bank of England officials, and others in policy circles. Examples of Friedman's influence ...
Journal Article
Economic History: Milton Friedman, Dissenter
At an event in 2002 in honor of Milton Friedman's 90th birthday, then-Fed chair Ben Bernanke offered him an olive branch of sorts on behalf of the Fed. "Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it," Bernanke conceded. "We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again."Bernanke's comment was an allusion to the 1963 book A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960 by Friedman and economist Anna Schwartz, in which they argued that monetary policy led by the Fed had an enormous influence on the recessionary periods of the U.S. economy, including the Great Depression. ...
Working Paper
Karl Brunner and U.K. Monetary Debate
Although he was based in the United States, leading monetarist Karl Brunner participated in debates in the United Kingdom on monetary analysis and policy from the 1960s to the 1980s. During the 1960s, his participation in the debates was limited to research papers, but in the 1970s, as monetarism attracted national attention, Brunner made contributions to U.K. media discussions. In the pre-1979 period, he was highly critical of the U.K. authorities? nonmonetary approach to the analysis and control of inflation-an approach supported by leading U.K. Keynesians. In the early 1980s, Brunner had ...
Working Paper
Managing a New Policy Framework: Paul Volcker, the St. Louis Fed, and the 1979-82 War on Inflation
In October 1979, Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker persuaded his FOMC colleagues to adopt a new policy framework that i) accepted responsibility for controlling inflation and ii) implemented new operating procedures to control the growth of monetary aggregates in an effort to restore price stability. These moves were strongly supported by monetarist-oriented economists, including the leadership and staff of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The next three years saw inflation peak and then fall sharply, but also two recessions and considerable volatility in interest rates and money ...