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Report
Geographical reallocation and unemployment during the Great Recession: the role of the housing bust
Rhee, Serena; Karahan, Fatih (2013)
This paper quantitatively evaluates the hypothesis that the housing bust in 2007 decreased geographical reallocation and increased the dispersion and level of unemployment during the Great Recession. We construct an equilibrium model of multiple locations with frictional housing and labor markets. When house prices fall, the amount of home equity declines, making it harder for homeowners to afford the down payment on a new house after moving. Consequently, the decline in house prices reduces migration and causes unemployment to rise differently in different locations. The model accounts for ...
Staff Reports , Paper 605

Journal Article
An Analysis of African American Interstate Migration to Iowa
Williams, Marva (2015)
There are many motivations for family moves to other states. New jobs, lower crime rates and better schools are a few. A common rumor in Iowa is that many low-income blacks are relocating to the state from communities in Illinois, Wisconsin and elsewhere to take advantage of the state's generous welfare benefits. This article attempts to explore that assumption by clarifying who is moving to Iowa and why. The conclusion, based on census data and a brief review of the literature, is that although perception belies reality, the reality is more nuanced than one might expect.
Profitwise , Issue 4 , Pages 33-37

Report
Spatial Wage Gaps and Frictional Labor Markets
Porzio, Tommaso; Heise, Sebastian (2019-10-01)
We develop a job-ladder model with labor reallocation across firms and space, which we design to leverage matched employer-employee data to study differences in wages and labor productivity across regions. We apply our framework to data from Germany: twenty-five years after the reunification, real wages in the East are still 26 percent lower than those in the West. We find that 60 percent of the wage gap is due to labor being paid a higher wage per efficiency unit in West Germany, and quantify three distinct barriers that prevent East Germans from migrating west to obtain a higher wage: ...
Staff Reports , Paper 898

Journal Article
A Welcome for the Talented
Steelman, Aaron (2018-10)
Book Review of "The Gift of Global Talent: How Migration Shapes Business, Economy & Society" By William R. Kerr, Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 2019, 237 Pages
Econ Focus , Issue 4Q , Pages 27-27

Discussion Paper
Understanding Immigration in the Fifth District: Where Did International Migrants Settle?
Carpenter, Surekha; Scavette, Adam (2024-07-12)
In 2022, the Census Bureau announced that international migration to the United States had returned to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels, and recent estimates suggest immigration has surged to unprecedented levels. To understand how the flow of international migration changed in our region from the onset of the pandemic, we analyze recent census data that looks at population change and its components. During this period, population change and migration in the Fifth District differed from the national trend and varied across states. Even though this period includes the height of pandemic-related ...
Regional Matters

Discussion Paper
Urban Marylanders Are Migrating to More Affordable and Smaller Metro Areas
Scavette, Adam; Waters, Keith (2024-03-07)
With its unemployment rate reaching 1.9 percent in December 2023, Maryland has the tightest labor market in the country, which poses an ongoing hiring challenge for the state's employers. A key contributor to the tightness is the state's slow post-pandemic labor force recovery, especially in the state's inner-ring suburbs of the District of Columbia. While some of the state's former workers and job seekers have dropped out of the labor force but have remained residents, others have left the state altogether, according to recent statistics that placed Maryland in the top 5 states by net ...
Regional Matters

Briefing
Switching Occupational Categories
Devon, Gorry; Trachter, Nicholas; Sablik, Timothy; Gorry, Aspen (2019-07)
Worker mobility, across jobs and across state lines, has fallen in recent decades. Changing jobs is one way workers gain new skills and improve their wages. New research also suggests that switching between white-collar and blue-collar occupations enables workers to learn valuable information about their abilities and the types of jobs they are best suited for. Any frictions inhibiting the ability of workers to switch occupations would be costly, particularly for young workers.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Issue July , Pages 1-4

Discussion Paper
What Caused the Decline in Interstate Migration in the United States?
Karahan, Fatih; Li, Darius (2016-10-17)
Geographic mobility is thought to be important both for economic mobility and for the efficiency of a labor market in allocating the right people to the right jobs. Accordingly, the willingness of the U.S. workforce to move is a factor behind the greater dynamism of the U.S. labor market compared to Europe. While Europeans tend to be more reluctant to move to distant places within their respective countries, the idea of moving across state borders for a job has been woven into the fabric of the American Dream. However, the image of the United States as a mobile nation has changed ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20161017

Briefing
School Quality as a Tool for Attracting People to Rural Areas
Price, David A.; Marre, Alexander W.; Rupasingha, Anil (2020-08)
Many rural localities are interested in strategies for retaining residents and attracting newcomers. Recent research indicates that one promising strategy for rural development is maintaining and improving the quality of an area's public schools. In this research, which is the first national study of the relationship between school quality and migration flows in and out of rural areas, better outcomes for students in a rural county's schools were associated with higher migration into that county.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Issue 20-08 , Pages 4

Working Paper
The Effects of Gentrification on the Well-Being and Opportunity of Original Resident Adults and Children
Brummet, Quentin; Reed, Davin (2019-07-16)
We use new longitudinal census microdata to provide the first causal evidence of how gentrification affects a broad set of outcomes for original resident adults and children. Gentrification modestly increases out-migration, though movers are not made observably worse off and neighborhood change is driven primarily by changes to in-migration. At the same time, many original resident adults stay and benefit from declining poverty exposure and rising house values. Children benefit from increased exposure to higher-opportunity neighborhoods, and some are more likely to attend and complete ...
Working Papers , Paper 19-30

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