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Credible and Incredible Disinflations
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard talked about “credible” versus “incredible” disinflations during a panel discussion at “The Credibility of Government Policies: Conference in Honor of Guillermo Calvo” at Columbia University.He posed the question of whether the Fed will be able to return inflation to 2% relatively easily and quickly or whether a substantial recession will occur, as was the case under former Fed Chair Paul Volcker. Bullard noted that the Volcker disinflation was costly but “incredible”—initially, few believed that the Fed was serious about reducing ...