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The COVID-19 Recession in Historical Perspective
How severe is the COVID-19 recession across the globe? An analysis compares GDP growth forecasts for 2020 with historical growth rates for 155 countries.
For Poor Countries, Gains in Education Are Not Matched in Income
Poor countries are narrowing the education gap with rich countries, but not the gap in GDP per capita.
V-Shaped Recovery Eludes G-7 Countries
Economic growth should overshoot its long-run trend to make up for the downturn caused by the pandemic. So far, this hasn’t happened.
Journal Article
Economic Improvements Anticipated in the Months Ahead
Federal Reserve policymakers and private-sector forecasters expect strong GDP growth and further declines in the unemployment rate in 2021.
Using Data to Show When Recessions End
Could weekly data—such as the Weekly Economic Index—be used in calculating when recessions end, in addition to monthly and quarterly data?