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Price discovery in the foreign currency futures and spot market
Rosenberg, Joshua V.; Traub, Leah G.
(2006)
In this paper, we compare price discovery in the foreign exchange futures and spot markets during a period in which the spot market was less transparent but had higher volume than the futures market. We develop a foreign exchange futures order flow measure that is a proxy for the order flow observed by Chicago Mercantile Exchange pit traders. We find that both foreign currency futures and spot order flow contain unique information relevant to exchange rate determination. When we measure contributions to price discovery using the methods of Hasbrouck and of Gonzalo and Granger, we obtain ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 262
Conference Paper
International nominal targeting: a proposal for policy coordination
Frankel, Jeffrey A.
(1988)
Conference Series ; [Proceedings]
, Volume 32
, Pages 234-239
Working Paper
Measuring U.S. international relative prices: a WARP view of the world
Fahle, Sean; Thomas, Charles P.; Marquez, Jaime R.
(2008)
In this paper we construct a new measure of U.S. prices relative to those of its trading partners and use it to reexamine the behavior of U.S. net exports. Our measure differs from existing measures of the dollar's real effective exchange rate (REER) in that it explicitly incorporates both the difference in price levels between the United States and developing economies and the growing importance of these developing economies in world trade. Unlike existing REERs, our measure shows that relative U.S. prices have increased significantly over the past 15 years. In terms of simple correlations, ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 917
Report
The advantage of transparency in monetary policy instruments
Atkeson, Andrew; Kehoe, Patrick J.
(2006)
Monetary policy instruments differ in tightness - how closely they are linked to inflation - and transparency - how easily they can be monitored. Tightness is always desirable in a monetary policy instrument; when is transparency? When a government cannot commit to follow a given policy. We apply this argument to a classic question: Is the exchange rate or the money growth rate the better monetary policy instrument? We show that if the instruments are equally tight and a government cannot commit to a policy, then the exchange rate's greater transparency gives it an advantage as a monetary ...
Staff Report
, Paper 297
Journal Article
Reducing the costs and risks of trading foreign exchange
Cody, Brian J.
(1990-11)
Business Review
, Issue Nov
, Pages 13-23
Working Paper
The adjustment of global external balances: does partial exchange rate pass-through to trade prices matter?
Leduc, Sylvain; Sheets, Nathan; Gust, Christopher J.
(2008)
This paper assesses whether partial exchange rate pass-through to trade prices has important implications for the prospective adjustment of global external imbalances. To address this question, we develop and estimate an open-economy DGE model in which pass-through is incomplete due to the presence of local currency pricing, distribution services, and a variable demand elasticity that leads to fluctuations in optimal markups. We find that the overall magnitude of trade adjustment is similar in a low and high pass-through world with more adjustment in a low pass-world occurring through a ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2008-16
Working Paper
Estimating pass-through: structure and stability
Melick, William R.
(1990)
This paper estimates the pass-through relationship between exchange rates and import prices for the United States using recursive techniques across a variety of specifications to examine structural and coefficient stability in a systematic fashion. Results of estimations: 1) indicate that pass-through at the macroeconomic level is a complicated amalgamation of disparate industrial structures that involves more than one long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables of interest, and 2) call into question the prevailing wisdom that foreign firms changed their pricing behavior in light ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 387
Report
Mean reversion in EMS exchange rates
Mizrach, Bruce
(1993)
Research Paper
, Paper 9301
Report
A case for fixing exchange rates
Weber, Warren E.; Rolnick, Arthur J.
(1989)
Annual Report
Working Paper
Real exchange rate movements in high inflation countries
Rogers, John H.; Wang, Ping
(1995)
We empirically assess the sources of fluctuations in the real exchange rates of four high inflation countries, for which monetary shocks are generally believed to be predominant. In a benchmark model we identify fiscal, monetary, and output shocks based on a general-equilibrium optimizing model. We then estimate two alternative extensions. In the first, we decompose the output shock into supply and demand disturbances; in the second, the monetary shock is further decomposed into money supply and nominal exchange rate disturbances. Monetary shocks are found to be generally significant. Real ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 501
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Statistics 1 items
Stochastic analysis 1 items
Stock exchanges 1 items
Swaps (Finance) 1 items
Switzerland 1 items
Technology 1 items
Treaty on European Union (1992) 1 items
Turkey 1 items
Volcker, Paul A. 1 items
Wholesale price indexes 1 items
Won, Korean 1 items
asset pricing 1 items
bond markets 1 items
capital asset pricing model 1 items
economic conditions - United States 1 items
equilibrium 1 items
futures markets 1 items
rational expectations 1 items
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