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How sensitive is the Treasury cash-futures basis trade to funding condition shifts?

The Treasury cash-futures basis trade, a very large, leveraged Treasury trade, has drawn scrutiny because unwinding positions amplified stress during the pandemic-era market shock of March 2020. With estimates suggesting the trade has since grown larger, attention is focused on how well it might weather future shocks.
Dallas Fed Economics

With few firms advising life insurers, is financial stability at risk?

Despite asset managers playing an increasingly pivotal role in investment decisions—leading to more similar portfolios—analysis of life insurance firms and their advisers reveals a relatively small threat to financial stability.
Dallas Fed Economics

Blockchain Technology Aims to Expand Role of Digital Transactions on Internet

While the resources devoted to blockchain technology development have increased dramatically the past few years, the technology’s ultimate success depends on whether blockchain protocols can interact with the current economic landscape and how that occurs.
Dallas Fed Economics

Expanded central clearing would increase Treasury market resilience

The smooth functioning of markets for Treasury securities is critically important to the U.S. economy. The federal government relies on the sale of Treasuries to finance essential services, and the Federal Reserve uses Treasury markets to implement monetary policy.
Dallas Fed Economics

Decentralized finance proposed as alternative to traditional financial services

DeFi applications allow users to directly interact with each other to borrow, lend, insure and exchange digital assets without centralized intermediaries, such as banks and custodial exchanges.
Dallas Fed Economics

Residential solar power shines on, backed by securitized lending

Residential solar is a small and rapidly expanding sector, and the securitization market—the packaging of loans to investors—has been one of the most popular sources of funding for new solar installations.
Dallas Fed Economics

Dallas Fed, Latin American central banks explore financial stability risks

The COVID-19 pandemic, recent monetary tightening and a strengthening U.S. dollar were the themes explored during a recent conference organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and the Center for Latin American Monetary Studies (CEMLA) and held at CEMLA’s Mexico City headquarters.
Dallas Fed Economics

Interest rate volatility contributed to higher mortgage rates in 2022

The Federal Reserve aggressively tightened monetary policy in 2022, responding to high and persistent inflation. The resulting borrowing cost increase for households and firms was generally anticipated. However, fixed-rate mortgage interest rates were especially sensitive to the policy regime change.
Dallas Fed Economics

The connection between banking and sovereign crises

Dallas Fed economist Sewon Hur examines how sovereign debt crises can amplify banking problems.
Dallas Fed Economics

Treasuries’ allure as safe haven noted in short maturities, not in long bonds

The United States has a large negative net-foreign-asset position, especially in safe assets. In times of crisis, U.S. government debt, especially short-term Treasuries, are viewed as a safe haven. As a result, the U.S. is a net debtor. It is more leveraged and tends to hold more risky assets (mostly equities) and finance those positions by selling safe-asset debt to the rest of the world.
Dallas Fed Economics

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