Search Results
Journal Article
Young Workers Fuel Recovery in Jobs Requiring a High School Diploma or Less
The labor force of individuals with a high school diploma or less has surpassed pre-pandemic levels thanks to an increase in the number of young workers. However, this shift toward younger workers could affect both the current and future productive capacity of the economy. Young workers lack experience and work fewer hours, which could lead to productivity losses in the short term. More concerningly, some young people appear to be foregoing education to work, which may hurt their future labor market prospects.
Speech
Economic Fragility: Implications for Recovery from the Pandemic
President Rosengren’s comments were delivered as part of the Annual Regional and Community Bankers Conference, and were based on a speech he delivered on October 8, 2020 for the Marburg Memorial Lecture, Marquette University Economics Department.
Working Paper
Have Distressed Neighborhoods Recovered? Evidence from the Neighborhood Stabilization Program
During the 2007-2009 housing crisis, concentrations of foreclosed and vacant properties created severe blight in many cities and neighborhoods. The federal Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) was established to help mitigate distress in hard-hit areas by funding the rehabilitation or demolition of troubled properties. This paper analyzes housing market changes in areas that received investments during the second round of NSP funding, focusing on seven large urban counties. Grantees used NSP to invest in census tracts with high rates of distressed and vacancy properties, and tracts that ...
Journal Article
Uneven Consumption Growth in the COVID-19 Economic Recovery
Are richer households driving the boom in post-pandemic consumption? It may be the case in the U.S., as consumption growth is faster in goods and services with higher income elasticity.
Journal Article
The National Fund for Workforce Solutions: The Impact and Challenges of Its Workforce Partnership Model
The recent economic recession and equally anemic recovery have dramatically changed the job outlook for low-wage workers and disadvantaged youth in America. In addition, the Great Recession has accelerated the long-term trend toward requiring workers to have a higher skill set to obtain jobs that pay family-supporting wages. The recession also highlighted the fact that workers need both sector- and firm-specific skills as well as connections to employers in order to obtain jobs that pay reasonable wages. However, as middle-skill jobs (e.g., welders, paralegals, radiology technicians, and ...
Speech
Bullard Discusses Economic Outlook, Federal Debt, Currency Competition
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard shared his views on the policy responses to the pandemic, the U.S. economic outlook, debt-to-GDP ratios and currency competition. He spoke during a moderated panel discussion at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Economic Policy Conference.
Journal Article
Federal Government Outlays Remain Historically Elevated, Spurred by Robust Transfers
Over the past six decades, the federal government has shifted a larger share of its outlays toward transfer payments to individuals and state and local governments. These longer-run trends were exacerbated during the pandemic, leading to higher deficits for the federal government and an increasingly high share of federal outlays supporting the economy through consumer spending.
Journal Article
Improving Conditions Could Bode Well for Economic Recovery
While the U.S. economy has been on a roller-coaster ride this year, improving economic indicators could signal a recovery ahead.
Discussion Paper
The Devastation of Hurricane Helene: The Fifth District
The impact of Hurricane Helene is still reverberating across the Southeast with each day bringing new revelations of the catastrophic damage to communities in the Fifth District. After making landfall on Sept. 26 in Florida, the storm moved inland, bringing wind gusts and historic levels of rainfall that destroyed homes, businesses, landscapes, and critical infrastructure, and left some areas of our district unrecognizable. The loss of life — more than 230 people as of the writing of this post — makes Hurricane Helene the deadliest mainland hurricane in the United States since Hurricane ...
Speech
The COVID-19 Pandemic, the Economic Outlook, and the Main Street Lending Program
Unfortunately, the economic outlook is being driven by the course of the pandemic, and much depends on how successfully it can be contained, either through public health or medical innovations. The forecast for the U.S. economy this fall is quite uncertain, but President Rosengren's view is that the recent slowdown in economic activity that we have seen in high frequency data is likely to continue. Currently, we have an unemployment rate above 10 percent, and because of the continued community spread of the virus, he is concerned that the pandemic will limit the ability of the economy to ...