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Keywords:economic outlook 

Speech
An Economic Outlook - New Jerseys Bankers Association

Philadelphia Fed?s Harker: New Jersey?s Economy Shows Significant Progress Despite Slow Recovery January 20, 2017 While New Jersey?s economy has made significant progress since the recession, the state faces ?different issues than other states? that impact the recovery of its housing and labor markets, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick T. Harker said today in remarks at the New Jersey Bankers Association?s annual Economic Leadership Forum
Speech , Paper 129

Speech
‘E’ Is for Equipoise

Remarks at the Council on Foreign Relations, New York City.
Speech

Speech
Pandemic Ebbs and Flows: Economic Data, Inflation Concerns, and Policymaking

With a shock as large as the pandemic, policymakers need to be alert to potential changes to the economy. To date, inflation expectations and the underlying inflation rate look to be stable. It is important to keep in mind the difficulty that was experienced in achieving inflation of 2 percent in the United States and most of the developed world after the Great Financial Crisis. As a result, my perspective is that the emphasis on actual outcomes rather than forecasts of rising inflationary pressures when setting monetary policy appears justified. However, given the noise in the data, it will ...
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Speech
Bullard Speaks with Washington Post about Inflation, Tapering

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard gave his perspective on the U.S. economy, inflation risks and tapering the Fed’s bond purchases, during an appearance on Washington Post Live.
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Remarks on Monetary Policy and the U.S. Economic Outlook

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem spoke at an Economic Club of Memphis event in Tennessee. He gave the talk “Remarks on Monetary Policy and the U.S. Economic Outlook” and participated in a Q&A moderated by Douglas Scarboro, senior vice president and regional executive of the St. Louis Fed’s Memphis Branch.
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Speech
Pandemic Ebbs and Flows: Economic Data, Inflation Concerns, and Policymaking

With a shock as large as the pandemic, policymakers need to be alert to potential changes to the economy. To date, inflation expectations and the underlying inflation rate look to be stable. It is important to keep in mind the difficulty that was experienced in achieving inflation of 2 percent in the United States and most of the developed world after the Great Financial Crisis. As a result, my perspective is that the emphasis on actual outcomes rather than forecasts of rising inflationary pressures when setting monetary policy appears justified. However, given the noise in the data, it will ...
Speech

Journal Article
Regional Firms Are Disagreeing About How to React to Current Economic Conditions

There is an increased level of disagreement among firms about their respective economic outlooks in the Tenth District region. As heightened levels of disagreement are historically associated with softening employment, this could have implications for economic conditions moving forward.
Rocky Mountain Economist , Volume 2024 , Issue 2

Speech
Achieving Balance Amid Uncertainty

Remarks at Housatonic Community College, Bridgeport, Connecticut.
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Taking Stock of the Economic Recovery and the Opportunities to Bolster Financial Stability

It seems likely that the economy will grow rapidly this year. This should reduce the slack in the labor markets and eventually return inflation to the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. Assuming virus variants do not become especially problematic, we should see an unusually strong post-recession recovery. While the near-term public health and macroeconomic improvements are more than welcome and critically important, I also believe that policymakers across the spectrum should take the time to examine some of the problems brought to the forefront over the past year. In doing so, they can ...
Speech

Discussion Paper
How Is the Corporate Bond Market Functioning as Interest Rates Increase?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has increased the target interest rate by 3.75 percentage points since March 17, 2022. In this post we examine how corporate bond market functioning has evolved along with the changes in monetary policy through the lens of the U.S. Corporate Bond Market Distress Index (CMDI). We compare this evolution to the 2015 tightening cycle for context on how bond market conditions have evolved as rates increase. The overall CMDI has deteriorated but remains close to historical medians. The investment-grade CMDI index has deteriorated more than the high-yield, ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20221130

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