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Journal Article
Interview: Christopher Carroll
Steelman, Aaron (2013-01)
Related Links: https://www.richmondfed.org/-/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/econ_focus/2013/q1/full_interview.cfm https://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/econ_focus/2013/q1/interview_weblinks.cfm
Econ Focus , Volume 17 , Issue 1Q , Pages 30-34

Working Paper
Rushing into American Dream? House Prices, Timing of Homeownership, and Adjustment of Consumer Credit
Agarwal, Sumit; Hu, Luojia; Huang, Xing (2013-11-01)
In this paper we use a large panel of individuals from Consumer Credit Panel dataset to study the timing of homeownership as a function of credit constraints and expectations of future house price. Our panel data allows us to track individuals over time and we model the transition probability of their first home purchase. We find that in MSAs with highest quartile house price growth, the median individual become homeowners earlier by 5 years in their lifecycle compared to MSAs with lowest quartile house price growth. The result suggests that the effect of expectation dominates the effect of ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-2013-13

Periodic Essay
Shifting fortunes: wealth trends in the Federal Reserve’s survey of consumer finances
Emmons, William R.; Noeth, Bryan J. (2012)
Short essays related to research on understanding and strengthening the balance sheets of American households.
In the Balance , Issue 1

Lower interest rates don’t necessarily improve housing affordability
Richter, Alexander W.; Zhou, Xiaoqing (2024-04-02)
The direct impact of higher mortgage rates on housing affordability has received much attention. We emphasize that housing affordability not only depends on mortgage rates but also on house prices, which have competing effects.
Dallas Fed Economics

Discussion Paper
How and Why Do Consumers Use “Buy Now, Pay Later”?
Aidala, Felix; Mangrum, Daniel; Van der Klaauw, Wilbert (2024-02-14)
In a previous post, we highlighted that financially fragile households are disproportionately likely to use “buy now, pay later” (BNPL) payment plans. In this post, we shed further light on BNPL’s place in its users’ household finances, with a particular focus on how use varies by a household’s level of financial fragility. Our results reveal substantially different use patterns, as more-fragile households tend to use the service to make frequent, relatively small, purchases that they might have trouble affording otherwise. In contrast, financially stable households tend to not use ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20240214

Periodic Essay
Unsteady progress: income trends in the Federal Reserve's survey of consumer finances
Emmons, William R.; Noeth, Bryan J. (2012)
Short essays related to research on understanding and strengthening the balance sheets of American households.
In the Balance , Issue 2

Briefing
How Risky Are Young Borrowers?
Romero, Jessica Sackett; Ghent, Andra C.; Debbaut, Peter; Kudlyak, Marianna (2013-12)
Young borrowers are conventionally considered the most prone to making financial mistakes. This has spurred efforts to limit their access to credit, particularly via credit cards. Recent research suggests, however, that young borrowers are actually among the least likely to experience a serious credit card default. One reason why people obtain credit cards early in life may be to build a strong credit history.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Issue Dec

Briefing
Deterring default: why some state laws decrease the probability of mortgage foreclosures
Ghent, Andra C.; Slivinski, Stephen; Kudlyak, Marianna (2009-09)
Many states give mortgage lenders strong legal means by which to pursue debt collection in the event of a mortgage default. In those states, probability of default is lower and the forms the default takes are often quite different from a costly conventional foreclosure.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Changes in U.S. family finances from 2007 to 2010: evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances
Kennickell, Arthur B.; Bricker, Jesse; Moore, Kevin B.; Sabelhaus, John Edward (2012-06)
The Federal Reserve Board's Survey of Consumer Finances for 2010 provides insights into changes in family income and net worth since the 2007 survey. The survey shows that, over the 2007?10 period, the median value of real (inflation-adjusted) family income before taxes fell 7.7 percent, while mean income fell more sharply, an 11.1 percent decline. Both median and mean net worth decreased even more dramatically than income over this period, though the relative movements in the median and the mean are reversed; the median fell 38.8 percent, and the mean fell 14.7 percent. This article reviews ...
Federal Reserve Bulletin , Volume 98 , Issue June

Report
Determinants of mortgage default and consumer credit use: the effects of foreclosure laws and foreclosure delays
Chan, Sewin; Haughwout, Andrew F.; Hayashi, Andrew; Van der Klaauw, Wilbert (2015-06-01)
The mortgage default decision is part of a complex household credit management problem. We examine how factors affecting mortgage default spill over to other credit markets. As home equity turns negative, homeowners default on mortgages and HELOCs at higher rates, whereas they prioritize repaying credit cards and auto loans. Larger unused credit card limits intensify the preservation of credit cards over housing debt. Although mortgage non-recourse statutes increase default on all types of housing debt, they reduce credit card defaults. Foreclosure delays increase default rates for both ...
Staff Reports , Paper 732

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