Search Results
Showing results 1 to 2 of approximately 2.
(refine search)
Working Paper
Government Debt, Limited Foresight, and Longer-term Interest Rates
We study the relationship between government debt and interest rates in an environment where financial market participants have limited foresight about the future path of government debt. We show that limited foresight substantially attenuates estimates of the effect of government debt on longer-term yields relative to the benchmark of rational expectations often used in empirical analysis.
Working Paper
Government Debt, Limited Foresight, and Longer-term Interest Rates
We study the relationship between government debt and interest rates in an environment where financial market participants have limited foresight about the future path of government debt. We show that limited foresight substantially attenuates estimates of the effect of government debt on longer-term yields relative to the benchmark of rational expectations often used in empirical analysis.