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Keywords:Systemic risk 

Working Paper
Stablecoins: Growth Potential and Impact on Banking

Stablecoins have experienced tremendous growth in the past year, serving as a possible breakthrough innovation in the future of payments. In this paper, we discuss the current use cases and growth opportunities of stablecoins, and we analyze the potential for stablecoins to broadly impact the banking system. The impact of stablecoin adoption on traditional banking and credit provision can vary depending on the sources of inflow and the composition of stablecoin reserves. Among the various scenarios, a two-tiered banking system can both support stablecoin issuance and maintain traditional ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 1334

Discussion Paper
On Fire-Sale Externalities, TARP Was Close to Optimal

Imagine that many large and levered banks suffer heavy losses and must quickly sell assets to reduce their leverage. We expect the market price of the assets sold to decline, at least temporarily. As a result, any other financial institutions that happen to hold the same assets will experience balance sheet losses through no fault of their own —a negative fire-sale externality. In this post, we show that the vulnerability to fire-sale externalities was high during the crisis and that the capital injections of the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) helped reduce it ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20140415

Speech
Ending too big to fail

Remarks at the Global Economic Policy Forum, New York City.
Speech , Paper 123

Working Paper
Systemic risk analysis using forward-looking distance-to-default series

Based on contingent claims theory, this paper develops a method to monitor systemic risk in the European banking system. Aggregated Distance-to-Default series are generated using option prices information from systemically important banks and the DJ STOXX Banks Index. These indicators provide methodological advantages in monitoring vulnerabilities in the banking system over time: 1) they capture interdependences and joint risk of distress in systemically important banks; 2) their forward-looking feature endow them with early signaling properties compared to traditional approaches in the ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 1005

Speech
Steps toward a new financial regulatory architecture, speech presented on Ohio Bankers' Day, Columbus, Ohio April 1, 2009

President Pianalto discusses the economic outlook and the Federal Reserve?s recent actions, commenting on changes to the financial regulatory system. She makes the case for a new framework for categorizing financial institutions based on the degree of risk they pose to the financial system, adding her endorsement to what some have called macroprudential supervision.
Speech , Paper 22

Working Paper
Systemic Risk, International Regulation, and the Limits of Coordination

This paper examines the incentives of national regulators to coordinate regulatory policies in the presence of systemic risk in global financial markets. In a two-country and three-period model, correlated asset fire sales by banks generate systemic risk across national financial markets. Relaxing regulatory standards in one country increases both the cost and the severity of crises for both countries in this framework. In the absence of coordination, independent regulators choose inefficiently low levels of macro-prudential regulation. A central regulator internalizes the systemic risk and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2013-87

Speech
Lessons of the crisis: the implications for regulatory reform

Remarks at the Partnership for New York City Discussion, New York City.
Speech , Paper 10

Speech
Factors affecting efforts to limit payments to AIG counterparties

Testimony before the Committee on Government Oversight and Reform, U.S. House of Representatives.
Speech , Paper 13

Working Paper
The financial stress index: identification of systemic risk conditions

This paper develops a financial stress index for the United States, the Cleveland Financial Stress Index (CFSI), which provides a continuous signal of financial stress and broad coverage of the areas that could indicate it. The index is based on daily public-market data collected from four sectors of the fi nancial markets?the credit, foreign exchange, equity, and interbank markets. A dynamic weighting method is employed to capture changes in the relative importance of these four sectors as they occur. In addition, the design of the index allows the origin of the stress to be identified. We ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 1130

Working Paper
Central Clearing and Systemic Liquidity Risk

By stepping between bilateral counterparties, a central counterparty (CCP) transforms credit exposure. CCPs generally improve financial stability. Nevertheless, large CCPs are by nature concentrated and interconnected with major global banks. Moreover, although they mitigate credit risk, CCPs create liquidity risks, because they rely on participants to provide cash. Such requirements increase with both market volatility and default; consequently, CCP liquidity needs are inherently procyclical. This procyclicality makes it more challenging to assess CCP resilience in the rare event that one or ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2020-009

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Rosengren, Eric S. 8 items

Dudley, William 7 items

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