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Keywords:Natural real rate of interest 

Briefing
The Stars Our Destination: An Update for Our R* Model
Lubik, Thomas A.; Matthes, Christian (2023-09)
We report and discuss recent estimates of the natural real rate of interest, denoted r*. We analyze how the current flow of data renders r* estimates less reliable, and we consider some changes in the specification of the long-standing Lubik-Matthes model.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Volume 23 , Issue 32

Journal Article
Bond Premiums and the Natural Real Rate of Interest
Smith, Andrew Lee; Hakkio, Craig S. (2017-01)
Economic Review , Issue Q I , Pages 5-39

Briefing
Stargazing: Estimating r* in Other Countries
Lubik, Thomas A.; Merone, Brennan; Robino, Nathan (2024-03)
We provide estimates of r* — a central concept in monetary policy — for a set of countries using the same methodology as for the Richmond Fed's own r* estimate for the U.S. We generally find that the estimated r* paths are country specific, but that they behave more similarly to each other than to the U.S., indicating its central role in the international monetary system.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Volume 24 , Issue 10

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