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Newsletter
Looking for diamonds in the rust: Midwest cities and job growth
While many discuss the Midwest?s economic struggles, often overlooked are the varied performances of the region?s cities. The author looks at the performances of the region?s cities since the turn in the regional economy five years ago and assesses how each city?s performance was affected by its industry mix.
Journal Article
Educational attainment and recovery from recessions across metropolitan areas
Metropolitan area business cycles vary considerably in both magnitude and duration. Some metro areas recover rapidly from downtowns, some take longer, and some never recover. Because recent recessions have involved employment changes at the North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) supersector level that were both cyclical and structural, part of a metro area's recovery from a recession may include the process of workers adapting to new jobs in other industries. If worker adaptation is part of the recovery process, then metro areas with higher educational levels might be able to ...
Journal Article
A primer on MSAs
Report
Assessing high house prices: bubbles, fundamentals, and misperceptions
We construct measures of the annual cost of single-family housing for 46 metropolitan areas in the United States over the last 25 years and compare them with local rents and incomes as a way of judging the level of housing prices. Conventional metrics like the growth rate of house prices, the price-to-rent ratio, and the price-to-income ratio can be misleading because they fail to account both for the time series pattern of real long-term interest rates and predictable differences in the long-run growth rates of house prices across local markets. These factors are especially important in ...
Journal Article
State of New York City's housing and neighborhoods: an overview of recent trends
This paper was presented at the conference "Policies to Promote Affordable Housing," cosponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and New York University's Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, February 7, 2002. It was part of Session 1: State of New York City's Housing and Neighborhoods.
Journal Article
Suburban expansion
Census figures show that suburbs in the Eighth District are growing faster than they are for the nation as a whole
Working Paper
Aggregate employment growth and the deconcentration of metropolitan employment
In this paper, the authors document that the disparity in employment densities across U.S. metropolitan areas has lessened substantially over the postwar period. To account for this deconcentration of metropolitan employment, the authors develop a system-of-cities model in which an increase in aggregate metropolitan employment causes congestion costs to increase faster for the more dense metro areas. A calibrated version of the model reveals that the (roughly) two-and-a-half-fold increase in postwar aggregate metropolitan employment implies, by itself, more deconcentration than actually ...
Conference Paper
Technology and the future of metropolitan economies