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Social Distancing and Contact-Intensive Occupations
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando; Santacreu, Ana Maria (2020-03-24)
Some jobs certainly require more close interaction with other folks than other jobs. Which occupations are the most interactive, and which states have higher shares of these jobs?
On the Economy

Room to Grow? Inflation and Labor Market Slack
Koenig, Evan F.; Dolmas, Jim (2019-05-30)
Compared with the usual ex-food-and-energy measure, the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate sends a clearer, more reliable signal about whether cyclical inflation pressures are building.
Dallas Fed Economics

COVID-19 and Financial Distress: Vulnerability to Infection and Death
Athreya, Kartik B.; Sanchez, Juan M.; Mather, Ryan; Mustre-del-Rio, Jose (2020-04-02)
Although COVID-19 initially spread faster in areas with low financial distress, evidence suggests that infections may spread most rapidly in highly financially distressed areas moving forward.
On the Economy

Real-Time Survey to Provide Timelier Labor Market Data in Era of COVID-19
Bick, Alexander; Blandin, Adam; Mertens, Karel (2020-05-15)
An effective economic policy response to the rapidly evolving coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis requires timely and accurate information on its impact. To help reduce the information gap, we introduce the Real-Time Population Survey.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
The Evolution of the Labor Share across Developed Countries
Yang, Meifeng; Pinheiro, Roberto (2018-08)
In most developed countries, the share of output accruing to labor has declined over the last 20 years. However, the underlying reasons for the decrease may have differed in the United States and other developed countries. In this Commentary, we examine some of the explanations economists have proposed for the decline in the labor share and discuss how well these explanations account for the decline across developed countries.
Economic Commentary , Issue August

Updated Chicago Fed Estimate of the Trend Labor Force Participation Rate
Cole, Ross; Hu, Luojia (2024-07)
We updated the Chicago Fed estimate of the long-run trend rate of labor force participation, or trend LFP rate, to use data from 1982 through 2023 and to incorporate information about the age of children in the household. See Aaronson et al. (2014) for more information about the general approach to estimating the trend LFP rate.
Chicago Fed Insights

Labor Scarcity, Trade Woes Squeeze Texas Business, Survey Finds
Kerr, Emily; Slijk, Christopher (2019-07-11)
Businesses face difficulty both trying to hire in a historically tight labor market and navigating tariffs and trade policy uncertainty.
Dallas Fed Economics

Real-Time Population Survey Suggests U.S. Job Losses Slowed in Early May
Bick, Alexander; Blandin, Adam; Mertens, Karel (2020-05-22)
Survey results for the week of May 10 suggest further declines in employment and an increase in unemployment relative to the week of April 26 – May 2, though both changes are within the survey’s margin of error.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Monetary Policy Shocks and Aggregate Supply
Van Zandweghe, Willem (2015-07)
Willem Van Zandweghe examines whether monetary policy has had long-lasting effects on labor productivity and potential output.
Economic Review , Issue Q III , Pages 31-56

Journal Article
Monetary policy and the new normal
Dotsey, Michael (2016-01)
Is the economy in for a prolonged spell of slow growth, as some believe, or a burst of innovation and productivity? In either event, policymakers must pay close attention to productivity trends.
Economic Insights , Volume 1 , Issue 1 , Pages 1-4

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