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Speech
Act Now, and Choose Wisely
Remarks at the 2021 ISDA North America Conference (delivered via videoconference).
Report
LIBOR: origins, economics, crisis, scandal, and reform
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is a widely used indicator of funding conditions in the interbank market. As of 2013, LIBOR underpins more than $300 trillion of financial contracts, including swaps and futures, in addition to trillions more in variable-rate mortgage and student loans. LIBOR's volatile behavior during the financial crisis provoked questions surrounding its credibility. Ongoing regulatory investigations have uncovered misconduct by a number of financial institutions. Policymakers across the globe now face the task of reforming LIBOR in the aftermath of the scandal and ...
Speech
Money markets at a crossroads: policy implementation at a time of structural change: remarks at the Master of Applied Economics' Distinguished Speaker Series, University of California, Los Angeles
Remarks at the Master of Applied Economics' Distinguished Speaker Series, University of California, Los Angeles.
Speech
Good Day Sunshine
Remarks at Midsize Bank Coalition of America (delivered via videoconference).
Working Paper
What Drives Bank Funding Spreads?
We use matched, bank-level panel data on Libor submissions and credit default swaps to decompose bank-funding spreads at several maturities into components reflecting counterparty credit risk and funding-market liquidity. To account for the possibility that banks may strategically misreport their funding rates in the Libor survey, we nest our decomposition within a model of the costs and benefits of lying. We find that Libor spreads typically consist mostly of a liquidity premium and that this premium declined at short maturities following Federal Reserve interventions in bank funding ...
Working Paper
Inferring Term Rates from SOFR Futures Prices
The Alternative Reference Rate Committee, a group of private-sector market participants convened by the Federal Reserve, has recommended that markets transition to the use of the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in financial contracts that currently reference US dollar LIBOR. This paper examines the feasibility of using SOFR futures prices to construct forward-looking term reference rates that are conceptually similar to the term LIBOR rates commonly used in loan contracts. We show that futures-implied term SOFR rates have closely tracked federal funds OIS rates over the eight months ...
Speech
Monetary Policy Implementation: Adapting to a New Environment
Remarks before the Money Marketeers of New York University (delivered via videoconference).
Speech
Confidence in the implementation of U.S. monetary policy normalization: remarks at the 23rd EMEAP (Executives’ Meeting of East Asia-Pacific Central Banks) Governors’ Meeting, Manila, Philippines
Remarks at the 23rd EMEAP (Executives? Meeting of East Asia-Pacific Central Banks) Governors? Meeting, Manila, Philippines.
Speech
Reforming culture and conduct in the financial services industry: how can lawyers help?: remarks at Yale Law School's Chirelstein Colloquium, New Haven, Connecticut
Remarks at Yale Law School's Chirelstein Colloquium, New Haven, Connecticut.
Journal Article
Leaving LIBOR
The Fed has developed a new reference rate to replace the troubled LIBOR. Will banks make the switch?