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Keywords:Inflation (Finance) 

Working Paper
Sticky inflation and interest rate rules with auction prices

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 117

Conference Paper
The Fed at seventy-five

Proceedings

Journal Article
Rediscovering the value of honest money

Economic Insights , Volume 1 , Issue 1 , Pages 1

Conference Paper
Inflation, financial markets and capital formation - commentary

Proceedings , Volume 78 , Issue May , Pages 36-37

Working Paper
Inflation risk and optimal monetary policy

This paper shows that the optimal monetary policies recommended by New Keynesian models still imply a large amount of inflation risk. We calculate the term structure of inflation uncertainty in New Keynesian models when the monetary authority adopts the optimal policy. When the monetary policy rules are modified to include some weight on a price path, the economy achieves equilibria with substantially lower long-run inflation risk. With either sticky prices or sticky wages, a price path target reduces the variance of inflation by an order of magnitude more than it increases the variability of ...
Working Papers , Paper 2006-035

Working Paper
Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset

This paper provides cross-country empirical evidence on term premia, inflation uncertainty, and their relationship. It has three components. First, I construct a panel of zero-coupon nominal government bond yields spanning ten countries and eighteen years. From these, I construct forward rates and decompose these into expected future short-term interest rates and term premiums, using both statistical methods (an affine term structure model) and using surveys. Second, I construct alternative measures of time-varying inflation uncertainty for these countries, using actual inflation data and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2008-25

Journal Article
How severe is the time-inconsistency problem in monetary policy?

This study analyzes two monetary economies, a cash-credit good model and a limited-participation model. In these models, monetary policy is made by a benevolent policymaker who cannot commit to future policies. The study defines and analyzes Markov equilibrium in these economies and shows that there is no time-inconsistency problem for a wide range of parameter values.
Quarterly Review , Volume 27 , Issue Sum , Pages 17-33

Working Paper
Optimal disinflation paths when growth is endogenous

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 94-32

Speech
The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement

Presented at Indiana University.
Speech , Paper 166

Working Paper
Imperfect knowledge, inflation expectations, and monetary policy

This paper investigates the role of imperfect knowledge regarding the structure of the economy on the formation of expectations, macroeconomic dynamics, and the efficient formulation of monetary policy. Economic agents rely on an adaptive learning technology to form expectations and continuously update their beliefs regarding the dynamic structure of the economy based on incoming data. The process of perpetual learning introduces an additional layer of dynamic interactions between monetary policy and economic outcomes. We find that policies that would be efficient under rational expectations ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2002-27

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