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Speech
Emerging from recession: Implications for growth, inflation, and monetary policy, New York, New York, October 1, 2009
Pianalto, Sandra
(2009)
In a speech in New York City, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Sandra Pianalto comments on current economic conditions, explains why she thinks the country's economic recovery will be gradual and bumpy, and gives her thoughts on what this gradual path to recovery may mean for inflation and monetary policy.
Speech
, Paper 24
Journal Article
The base money paradox
Dewald, William G.
(1981)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Working Paper
Inflation expectations and the transmission of monetary policy
Roberts, John M.
(1998)
New Keynesian models with sticky prices and rational expectations have a difficult time explaining why reducing inflation usually requires a recession. An explanation for the costliness of reducing inflation is that inflation expectations are less than perfectly rational. To explore this possibility, I estimate the degree of nonrationality implicit in two survey measures of inflation expectations. I find that the surveys reflect an intermediate degree of rationality: Expectations are nether perfectly rational nor as unsophisticated as simple autoregressive models would suggest. I also find ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1998-43
Journal Article
When can we forecast inflation?
Fisher, Jonas D. M.; Liu, Chin Te; Zhou, Ruilin
(2002-01)
This article reassesses recent work that has challenged the usefulness of inflation forecasts. The authors find that inflation forecasts were informative in 1977-84 and 1993-2000, but less informative in 1985-92. They also find that standard forecasting models, while generally poor at forecasting the magnitude of inflation, are good at forecasting the direction of change of inflation.
Economic Perspectives
, Volume 26
, Issue Q I
, Pages 32-44
Journal Article
Food prices and the inflation experiences of low-income households
McGranahan, Leslie
(2008-12)
Food prices have been rising rapidly over the past two years. In August 2008, aggregate food prices were 6.1 percent above their level in August 2007. Prices in August 2007 were already 4.8 percent above the level in August 2006. Because food purchases represent a larger portion of the expenditures of low-income households, these increases in price have a more substantial impact on the purchasing power of low-income households. This article describes the food inflation experiences of different population groups to demonstrate how different groups have been differentially affected by the ...
Profitwise
, Issue Dec
, Pages 8-16
Journal Article
Monetary theory and electronic money : reflections on the Kenyan experience
Townsend, Robert M.; Suri, Tavneet; Jack, William
(2010-01)
This article uses a class of models of money and the payments system to inform an analysis of "mobile banking" in the context of the rapid expansion of M-PESA, a new technology in Kenya that allows payments via mobile phones (even without any access to a bank account), and currently reaches close to 38 percent of Kenyan adults. The separation of households and firms in space and time suggests, in theory, from various separate models, a number of implications. These include (i) the potential gain, under some circumstances, from allowing net e-money credit creation, (ii) the impact that the ...
Economic Quarterly
, Volume 96
, Issue 1Q
, Pages 83-122
Conference Paper
Hysteresis in unemployment - comments
Chari, V. V.
(2008)
Larry Ball's paper contains two basic ideas. The first is a second generation Phillips Curve which relates changes in inflation to the level of the unemployment rate and the second is the idea that monetary policy has extremely persistent effects on the unemployment rate, well beyond effects over the business cycle.
Conference Series ; [Proceedings]
Journal Article
TIPS for safer investing
Sargent, Kevin H.; Taylor, Richard D.
(1997-07)
A look at some of the advantages and disadvantages of Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities, the first U.S. government securities guaranteed to provide riskless, long-term protection against inflation, covering their structure, expected performance against traditional Treasury securities, liquidity concerns, and the claim that they will allow the Treasury to reduce its borrowing costs.
Economic Commentary
, Issue Jul
Working Paper
Discretion, wage indexation, and inflation
VanHoose, David D.; Waller, Christopher J.
(1989)
Research Working Paper
, Paper 89-03
Journal Article
Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation?
Lansing, Kevin J.
(2002)
FRBSF Economic Letter
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