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Working Paper
Output dynamics in real business cycle models
Nason, James M.; Cogley, Timothy (1993)
The time series literature reports two stylized facts about output dynamics in the United States. GNP growth is positively autocorrelated over short horizons and negatively autocorrelated over longer horizons, and GNP has an important trend reverting component which has a hump-shaped moving average representation. We consider whether various real business cycle (RBC) models are consistent with these stylized facts. ; We find that many RBC models have weak internal propagation mechanisms and must rely on exogenous factors to replicate both stylized facts. In particular, intertemporal ...
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory , Paper 93-10

Working Paper
Forecasting with the yield curve; level, slope, and output 1875-1997
Bordo, Michael D.; Haubrich, Joseph G. (2006)
Using the yield curve helps forecast real growth over the period 1875 to 1997. Using both the level and slope of the curve improves forecasts more than using either variable alone. Forecast performance changes over time and depends somewhat on whether recursive or rolling out of sample regressions are used.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 0611

Working Paper
Conditional asymmetries in real GNP: a semi-nonparametric approach
Brunner, Allan D. (1990)
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 140

Journal Article
Unresolved issues in monetary policy
Solomon, Anthony M. (1989)
Solomon held the office of president during a period of notably successful anti-inflationary monetary policy as well as rapid financial innovation and deregulation. In this speech, he discusses monetary strategy in particular the targeting of monetary aggregates, interest rates, and nominal GNP in light of trends in inflation and the uncertainties introduced by changing financial markets.
Quarterly Review , Issue Special , Pages 42-47

Discussion Paper
Reducing uncertainty in current analysis and projections: the estimation of monthly GNP
Corrado, Carol (1986)
Special Studies Papers , Paper 209

Working Paper
How big is the permanent component in GNP? the evidence from Japan and Australia
Moreno, Ramon (1992)
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 92-02

Journal Article
F.Y.I. effects of oil price shocks on measured GNP growth
Rogers, R. Mark (1987-07)
Economic Review , Issue Sum , Pages 52-64

Working Paper
Unit roots in real GNP: do we know, and do we care?
Christiano, Lawrence J.; Eichenbaum, Martin S. (1990)
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues , Paper 90-2

Working Paper
Projections of health care expenditures as a share of GNP: actuarial and economic approaches
Warshawsky, Mark J. (1991)
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 170

Journal Article
Potential output and the recent productivity decline
Tatom, John A. (1982-01)
Review , Volume 64 , Issue Jan , Pages 3-16

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