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Working Paper
Opioids and the Labor Market
Schweitzer, Mark E.; Fee, Kyle; Aliprantis, Dionissi (2019-03-01)
This paper studies the relationship between local opioid prescription rates and labor market outcomes. We improve the joint measurement of labor market outcomes and prescription rates in the rural areas where nearly 30 percent of the US population lives. We find that increasing the local prescription rate by 10 percent decreases the prime-age employment rate by 0.50 percentage points for men and 0.17 percentage points for women. This effect is larger for white men with less than a BA (0.70 percentage points) and largest for minority men with less than a BA (1.01 percentage points). Geography ...
Working Papers , Paper 18-07R

Journal Article
Collateral Damage: House Prices and Consumption During the Great Recession
Elul, Ronel (2019-07)
Did a decline in house prices cause the Great Recession? And if so, how? Credit constraints may be the key to answering those questions
Economic Insights , Volume 4 , Issue 3 , Pages 7-12

Journal Article
Housing Services Inflation May Decline Only Gradually
Rappaport, Jordan (2024-06-24)
The inflation rate for housing services remains about 2 percentage points above its 2019 level. Several factors are likely to slow its decline, including more than a decade of underbuilding prior to the pandemic, limited capacity to increase the nation’s housing stock, and the limited number of homes available for sale due to the steeper mortgage rates owners would face if they sold and purchased a different home.
Economic Bulletin

Journal Article
Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They?
Gregory, Victoria (2023-01-20)
This article identifies workers who experienced a job separation during the Great Recession or the pandemic recession and tracks their labor force status in the following year, using the Current Population Survey. Workers are classified as exiters if they leave the labor force shortly after their job loss and non-exiters if they do not. The pool of exiters is disproportionately female, less educated, and older. During the pandemic recession, there were even more older workers in the exiters pool, although they were less likely to report being retired compared with in the Great Recession. In ...
Review , Volume 105 , Issue 1 , Pages 9-20

Working Paper
How Did Young Firms Fare During the Great Recession? Evidence from the Kauffman Firm Survey
Zarutskie, Rebecca; Yang, Tiantian (2015-09-23)
We examine the evolution of several key firm economic and financial variables in the years surrounding and during the Great Recession using the Kauffman Firm Survey, a large panel of young firms founded in 2004 and surveyed for eight consecutive years. We find that these young firms experienced slower growth in revenues, employment, and assets and faced tighter financing conditions during the recessionary years. While we find some evidence that firm growth picked up following the recession, it is not clear that it returned to the levels it would have been absent the recessionary shock. We ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2015-85

Working Paper
Small Businesses and Small Business Finance during the Financial Crisis and the Great Recession: New Evidence From the Survey of Consumer Finances
Pogach, Jonathan; Kennickell, Arthur B.; Kwast, Myron L. (2015-02-27)
We use the Federal Reserve's 2007, 2009 re-interview of 2007 respondents, and 2010 Surveys of Consumer Finances (SCFs) to examine the experiences of small businesses owned and actively managed by households during these turbulent years. This is the first paper to use these SCFs to study small businesses even though the surveys contain extensive data on a broad cross-section of firms and their owners. We find that the vast majority of small businesses were severely affected by the financial crisis and the Great Recession, including facing tight credit constraints. We document numerous and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2015-39

Working Paper
Housing Choices and Their Implications for Consumption Heterogeneity
De Francisco, Eva (2019-05-29)
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 1249

Report
Did cuts in state aid during the Great Recession lead to changes in local property taxes?
Roy, Joydeep; Livingston, Max; Chakrabarti, Rajashri (2013-10-01)
During the Great Recession and its aftermath, state and local governments? revenue streams dried up due to diminished taxes. Budget cuts affected many aspects of government; in this paper, we investigate whether (and how) local school districts modified their funding and taxing decisions in response to changes in state aid in the post-recession period. Using detailed district-level panel data from New York and a fixed effects as well as an instrumental variables strategy, we find strong evidence that school districts did indeed respond to state aid cuts in the post-recession period by ...
Staff Reports , Paper 643

Working Paper
Heterogeneity in the Dynamics of Disaggregate Unemployment
Ahn, Hie Joo (2016-07-29)
This paper explores the role that unobserved heterogeneity within an observed category plays in the dynamics of disaggregate unemployment and in the cross-sectional differences across individuals of the duration of unemployment spells. The distribution of unobserved heterogeneity is characterized as a mixture of two distributions with each mean and weight determined by the inflows and outflows of workers with unobserved types H and L, which are identified based on the nonlinear state-space model of Ahn and Hamilton (2016). I found that the contribution of each factor to the dynamics of ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2016-063

Working Paper
Corporate Borrowing, Investment, and Credit Policies during Large Crises
Ebsim, Mahdi; Faria-e-Castro, Miguel; Kozlowski, Julian (2021-02-05)
We compare the evolution of corporate credit spreads during two large crises: the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic. These crises initially featured spread increases of similar magnitudes, but the pandemic was much more short-lived. The microdata reveal that firm leverage was a more important predictor of credit spreads during the GFC, but that firm liquidity was more important during the pandemic. In a model of the firm capital structure that is calibrated to match the joint distribution of leverage, liquidity, and credit spreads, we show that the GFC resembled a ...
Working Papers , Paper 2020-035

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