Search Results
Journal Article
The sources of the growth slowdown
Working Paper
Government equity and money: John Law’s system in 1720 France
John Law?s System was a radical restructuring of French public finances, carried out from 1716 to 1720. It involved on the one hand a conversion of the existing French public debt into something like government equity, on the other hand the replacement of commodity money with fiat money. For strategic reasons, Law supported the equity at too high a level, resulting in uncontrolled money creation. The System ended with the recreation of a public debt at, surprisingly, the same level as before.
Journal Article
International Influences on U.S. Inflation
The COVID-19 inflation surge experienced abroad undoubtedly left its mark on U.S. inflation. As global economies return to business as usual, it is natural to ask whether international considerations continue to affect U.S. inflation. Recent analysis shows that, although in normal times the international component of U.S. inflation is usually small, at other times it can contribute significantly to U.S. inflation dynamics.
Journal Article
Reflections on the international monetary crisis
Working Paper
Expenditures, Earnings, and Net Worth of the Comédie Française, 1723–1793
I study the expenditures of the Comédie française from 1759 to 1793 and the company’s debt from 1723 to 1793. Expenditures were well controlled and changes in venues account for their increase over time. The debt, however, was less controlled, because of the company’s partnership structure and the incentives it created for actors to compensate with debt any shortfall in income due to low tickets sales or delayed payments from the king. I analyze the debt instruments used and the social background of the lenders. I also study the total income of individual actors and the earnings profile ...
Conference Paper
Interest rate operating procedures of foreign central banks
Journal Article
Designation of a primary dealer from a foreign country
Working Paper
Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland
This article deals with using panel data to infer regime changes that are common to all of the cross section. The methods presented here apply to Markov switching vector autoregressions, dynamic factor models with Markov switching and other multivariate Markov switching models. The key feature we seek to add to these models is to permit cross-sectional units to have different weights in the calculation of regime probabilities. We apply our approach to estimating a business cycle chronology for the 50 U.S. States and the Euro area, and we compare results between country-specific weights and ...
Journal Article
The lesson of Poincaré