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Keywords:Financial Stability 

Working Paper
Black Swans and Financial Stability: A Framework for Building Resilience

This article refines the concept of black swans, typically described as highly unlikely and catastrophic events, by clearly distinguishing between knowable and unknowable events. By emphasizing that black swans are “unknown unknowns,” the article highlights that the realization of new black swans cannot be prevented and motivates a need for policies that build the financial system's resilience to unforeseeable crises. The article introduces a "resilience principle" that calls for policies that are adaptable, universal, and systemic. Examples are provided of policies with these features, ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2025-043

Connecting Communities During COVID-19: A Quick Guide to Broadband Solutions for Local Governments

Directives for social distancing and stay-at-home orders have made access to broadband an urgent necessity for families as they struggle to stay connected with schooling, jobs, health care, government assistance and more.
Dallas Fed Communities

Greater Hispanic Outreach Can Improve Take-Up of Earned Income Tax Credit

Despite the Earned Income Tax Credit’s many benefits, a large percentage of qualified workers do not claim it.
Dallas Fed Communities

Material Hardship and the CARES Act: Experiences of American Families

How did households use the aid provided by the CARES Act? Who had trouble accessing benefits? And in a polarized political climate, what did Americans think about the way the expanded safety net was offered—for themselves and their communities?
Dallas Fed Communities

Shock, Grief and Opportunity: The Emotional Roller Coaster of COVID-19 in the Small Business Community

Given that small businesses employ nearly half of all private sector workers, their struggles directly impact both the well-being of workers and the broader economy.
Dallas Fed Communities

Speech
Financial Stability Framework; Panel Remarks for the International Banking, Economics, and Finance Association and American Economic Association Session, \"Integrating Financial Stability with Monetary Policy\", Allied Social Science Associations Annual Meeting, 01-06-2018; Philadelphia, PA

I will discuss four topics: the relationship between financial stability and monetary policy, the Federal Reserve?s current framework for assessing and monitoring financial stability risks, an exercise aimed to assess possible policy responses to such risk, and some of the governance issues we face in addressing these risks.
Speech , Paper 90

How PPP Loans Eluded Small Businesses of Color

Using national- and state-representative data from small business owners from the Federal Reserve System’s Small Business Credit Survey, we found that small business owners of color were in greater need of financial support than their white-owned counterparts, but they successfully accessed the PPP less frequently.
Dallas Fed Communities

Discussion Paper
Bank Capital and Risk: Cautionary or Precautionary?

Do riskier banks have more capital? Banking companies with more equity capital are better protected against failure, all else equal, because they can absorb more losses before becoming insolvent. As a result, banks with riskier income and assets would hopefully choose to fund themselves with relatively more equity and less debt, giving them a larger equity cushion against potential losses. In this post, we use a top-down stress test model of the U.S. banking system?the Capital and Loss Assessment under Stress Scenarios (CLASS) model?to assess whether banks that are forecast to lose capital in ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20150202

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