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Keywords:Federal open market committee OR Federal Open Market Committee 

Journal Article
Modeling the Fed: a forward- looking monetary policy reaction function

New England Economic Review , Issue Nov , Pages 3-8

Journal Article
Federal Open Market Committee directive (December 9, 2003)

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Win

Working Paper
Evaluating FOMC forecasts

Federal Reserve policymakers began reporting their economic forecasts to Congress in 1979. These forecasts are important because they indicate what the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members think will be the likely consequence of their policies. We evaluate the accuracy of the FOMC forecasts relative to private sector forecasts, the forecasts of the Research Staff at the Board of Governors, and a nave alternative forecast. The Fed reports both the range (high and low) of the individual policymaker's forecasts and a truncated central tendency. We find no reason to consider the truncated ...
Working Papers , Paper 2001-005

Journal Article
Risk and uncertainty

EconSouth , Volume 5 , Issue Q2 , Pages 1

Working Paper
Pre-announcement effects, news, and volatility: monetary policy and the stock market

I examine pre-announcement and news effects on the stock market in the context of public disclosure of monetary policy decisions. The results suggest that the stock market tends to be relatively quiet--conditional volatility is abnormally low--on days preceding regularly scheduled policy announcements. Although this calming effect is routinely reported in anecdotal press accounts, it is statistically significant only over the past four to five years, a result that I attribute to changes in the Federal Reserve's disclosure practices in early 1994. The paper also looks at how the actual ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2000-50

Conference Paper
Opening Remarks: Monetary Policy in the Time of COVID

Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Working Paper
Coalitions, power, and the FOMC

The authors apply a notion of power, defined for coalitions, which is derived from the Shapley value. They calculate the power of coalitions within a 12-person committee meant to correspond to the FOMC.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 0103

Journal Article
Statement to Congress, October 19, 1993 (accountability of monetary policy)

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Federal Open Market Committee directive (June 26, 2002)

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Aug

Working Paper
The Accuracy of Forecasts Prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee

We analyze forecasts of consumption, nonresidential investment, residential investment, government spending, exports, imports, inventories, gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment prepared by the staff of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee from 1997 to 2008, called the Greenbooks. We compare the root mean squared error, mean absolute error, and the proportion of directional errors of Greenbook forecasts of these macroeconomic indicators to the errors from three forecasting benchmarks: a random walk, a first-order ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2015-62

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