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GDP Gain Realized in Shale Boom’s First 10 Years
The U.S. shale boom has benefited the nation’s oil trade balance and oil-producing regions and led to unusually large employment and output gains.
Oil and Gas Sector Increasingly Influences U.S. Business Fixed Investment
As U.S. oil production has more than doubled over the past decade, the oil and gas sector has become more important to growth in non-residential investment.
Russia’s War on Ukraine Will Leave Scars on U.S., World Economies
The conflict may alter the global economic and geopolitical order, leading to a new era of deglobalization.
Falling Oil Prices Drag Down U.S. Business Investment
The dramatic decline in the price of oil has led to massive investment reductions by U.S. oil and gas producers.
Global Perspectives: Marvin E. Odum on the COVID-19 Fight, Energy Outlook
Odum and Dallas Fed President Robert S. Kaplan participated in a moderated conversation with Krys Boyd of KERA and discussed the ongoing pandemic and how best to contain it.
Journal Article
The Response of U.S. Investment to Oil Price Shocks: Does the Shale Boom Matter?
After an unprecedented decline from 2014 to 2016, the real price of oil more than doubled, renewing interest in the effects of oil price fluctuations on the U.S. economy. The oil sector has become increasingly important to the U.S. economy over the past decade, and total U.S. business fixed investment appears to have followed oil investment?s pattern in recent years. This positive correlation between oil prices and U.S. investment growth may be related to the surge in U.S. oil production known as the shale boom. {{p}} Nida ak?r Melek explores the effect of unexpected oil price changes (or ...
Discussion Paper
Just Released: Hints of Increased Hardship in America’s Oil-Producing Counties
Today, the New York Fed released the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for the first quarter of 2016. Overall debt saw one of its larger increases since deleveraging ended, while delinquency rates for the United States continued to improve and remain at very low levels. Although the overall picture of Americans? liabilities has continued to improve since the financial crisis, we wondered what the variation looks like at local levels. One advantage of our Consumer Credit Panel (CCP), which is based on Equifax credit data, is that we can examine geographic variation in debt and ...
High Fuel Prices in the U.S. May Crimp Oil Demand Soon
If prices climb higher, expect consumers to respond by cutting back on fuel consumption and overall spending sooner than later.
A New View of the Relationship Between Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations
It has been considered self-evident until recently that oil prices drive inflation expectations, but new evidence calls into question this conclusion.
The Russian Oil Supply Shock of 2022
In the immediate aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February, early estimates suggested that perhaps 3 million barrels a day (mb/d) of petroleum production had been effectively removed from the global oil market, constituting one of the largest supply shortfalls since the 1970s.