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Conference Paper
Achieving maximum long-run growth: an introduction to the 2011 Economic Policy Symposium
Knotek, Edward S. (2011)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Report
Globalized banks: lending to emerging markets in the crisis
Goldberg, Linda S.; Cetorelli, Nicola (2009)
As banking has become more globalized, so too have the consequences of shocks originating in home and host markets. Global banks can provide liquidity and risk-sharing opportunities to the host market in the event of adverse host-country shocks, but they can also have profound effects across international markets. Indeed, global banks played a significant role in the transmission of the current crisis to emerging-market economies. Flows between global banks and emerging markets include both cross-border lending, which has long been recognized as responding significantly to shocks at home or ...
Staff Reports , Paper 377

Working Paper
The global labor market impact of rmerging giants: a quantitative assessment
Levchenko, Andrei A.; Zhang, Jing (2013)
This paper investigates both aggregate and distributional impacts of the trade integration of China, India, and Central and Eastern Europe in a quantitative multi-country multi-sector model, comparing outcomes with and without factor market frictions. Under perfect within-country factor mobility, the gains to the rest of the world from trade integration of emerging giants are 0.37%, ranging from ?0.37% for Honduras to 2.28% for Sri Lanka. Reallocation of factors across sectors contributes relatively little to the aggregate gains, but has large distributional effects. The aggregate gains to ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-2013-10

Working Paper
Sterilization, monetary policy, and global financial integration
Glick, Reuven; Aizenman, Joshua (2008)
This paper investigates the changing pattern and efficacy of sterilization within emerging market countries as they liberalize markets and integrate with the world economy. We estimate the marginal propensity to sterilize foreign asset accumulation associated with net balance of payments inflows, across countries and over time. We find that the extent of sterilization of foreign reserve inflows has risen in recent years to varying degrees in Asia as well as in Latin America, consistent with greater concerns about the potential inflationary impact of reserve inflows. We also find that ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2008-15

Report
Global banks and international shock transmission: evidence from the crisis
Goldberg, Linda S.; Cetorelli, Nicola (2010)
Global banks played a significant role in transmitting the 2007-09 financial crisis to emerging-market economies. We examine adverse liquidity shocks on main developed-country banking systems and their relationships to emerging markets across Europe, Asia, and Latin America, isolating loan supply from loan demand effects. Loan supply in emerging markets across Europe, Asia, and Latin America was affected significantly through three separate channels: 1) a contraction in direct, cross-border lending by foreign banks; 2) a contraction in local lending by foreign banks' affiliates in emerging ...
Staff Reports , Paper 446

Working Paper
Time to produce and emerging market crises
Schwartzman, Felipe (2010)
The opportunity cost of waiting for goods to be produced and sold increases with the cost of financing. This channel is evident in emerging market crises, when industries that use more inventories lose more of their output and lag behind in the recovery. An open economy model with lags in the production process ("time to produce") generates comparable cross-sectoral differences in response to a shock to the foreign interest rate and, in the year of the crisis, accounts for up to 25% of the deviation of output from its previous trend. In contrast, an equivalent model without time to produce ...
Working Paper , Paper 10-15

Working Paper
The illusive quest: do international capital controls contribute to currency stability?
Glick, Reuven; Hutchison, Michael M. (2010)
We investigate the effectiveness of capital controls in insulating economies from currency crises, focusing in particular on both direct and indirect effects of capital controls and how these relationships may have changed over time in response to global financial liberalization and the greater mobility of international capital. We predict the likelihood of currency crises using standard macroeconomic variables and a probit equation estimation methodology with random effects. We employ a comprehensive panel data set comprised of 69 emerging market and developing economies over 1975?2004. Both ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2010-15

Working Paper
Owe a Bank Millions, the Bank Has a Problem: Credit Concentration in Bad Times
Agarwal, Sumit; Correa, Ricardo; Morais, Bernardo; Roldán, Jessica; Ruiz-Ortega, Claudia (2020-07-07)
How does a bank react when a substantial share of its borrowers suffer a large negative shock? To answer this question we exploit the 2014 collapse of energy prices using the universe of Mexican commercial bank loans. We show that, after the drop in energy prices, banks exposed to the energy sector increased their exposure to these borrowers even more, relaxing credit margins to their larger debtors in the sector. An increase of one standard deviation in a bank's ex-ante exposure to the energy sector increased the loan volume to borrowers in the sector by 18 percent and reduced interest rates ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 1288

Working Paper
A Simple Measure of the Intensity of Capital Controls
Warnock, Francis E.; Edison, Hali J. (2001)
We propose a monthly measure of the intensity of capital controls across 29 emerging markets. Our measure, which is based on restrictions on foreign ownership of equities, provides information on the extent and evolution of financial liberalization. Using the measure, we show that a complete liberalization results in a much sharper decrease in the cost of capital than previously reported, but following a partial liberalization the cost of capital increases. Moreover, the more complete the liberalization is, the greater are the subsequent exchange rate appreciation and capital inflows.
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 708

Working Paper
Measurement matters for modeling U.S. import prices
Marquez, Jaime R.; Thomas, Charles P. (2006)
We focus on capturing the increasingly important role that emerging economies play in determining U.S. import prices. Emerging market producers differ from others in two respects: (1) their cost structure is well below that of developed-market producers, and (2) their wide profit margins induce pricing policies that seek to exhaust production capacity. We argue that these features have dampened the short-run responses of import prices to changes in the value of the dollar but that they have not altered the associated long-run response. To capture these considerations, we develop a new method ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 883

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