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Keywords:Coronavirus 

Social Distancing, but Mostly during the Workweek?

Analyzing a new index from the Dallas Fed shows that a key component of social distancing—staying at home—seems to be happening nationally during the week but not as much on the weekends.
On the Economy

More Households Face Food Scarcity during COVID-19

More U.S. households are reporting that they sometimes or often do not have enough food, according to a new Census survey.
On the Economy

Protectionism and Dependence on Imports of Essential Medical Equipment

The COVID-19 global pandemic has led to a surge in protectionism, which poses challenges to countries dependent on imports of essential medical equipment.
On the Economy

Corporate Bond Spreads and the Pandemic IV: Liquidity Buffers

The cost of borrowing rose for most firms during the pandemic-related disruption of financial markets, but firms with greater liquidity have had smaller increases in credit spreads.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Coronavirus Dampens China’s First-Quarter GDP

The novel coronavirus spread in China long before other countries, making China a potential early signal of the virus’s economic effects. Using a range of statistical models, we estimate that the coronavirus outbreak may have reduced China’s real GDP by an annualized rate of 32 percent, leading year-over-year growth to decline from 6 percent in 2019:Q4 to −3.8 percent in 2020:Q1.
Economic Bulletin , Issue April 6, 2020 , Pages 5

COVID-19 and the Importance of Testing

Using only the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases does not help us understand the scope of the pandemic.
On the Economy

Ready for the Pandemic? Household Debt before the COVID-19 Shock

Before the pandemic, shares of delinquencies had already been growing in consumer finance loans, credit card debt, student loans and auto loans. And delinquencies can vary greatly among states.
On the Economy

The St. Louis Fed's Financial Stress Index, Version 2.0

The St. Louis Fed's financial stress index has been recalibrated to better capture evolving stresses in financial markets.
On the Economy

Discussion Paper
Does the BCG Vaccine Protect Against Coronavirus? Applying an Economist’s Toolkit to a Medical Question

As COVID-19 has spread across the globe, there is an intense search for treatments and vaccines, with numerous trials running in multiple countries. Several observers and prominent news outlets have noticed that countries still administering an old vaccine against tuberculosis—the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine—have had fewer coronavirus cases and fewer deaths per capita in the early stages of the outbreak. But is that correlation really strong evidence that the BCG vaccine provides some defense against COVID-19? In this post, we look at the incidence of coronavirus cases along ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20200511

Expected U.S. Macroeconomic Performance during the Pandemic Adjustment Period

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard recommends declaring a “National Pandemic Adjustment Period” and discusses three broad goals of macroeconomic policy during this period.
On the Economy

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