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Working Paper
Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence
Hajdini, Ina; Knotek, Edward S.; Leer, John; Pedemonte, Mathieu; Rich, Robert W.; Schoenle, Raphael
(2022-11-22)
Based on indirect utility theory, we introduce a novel methodology of measuring inflation expectations indirectly. This methodology starts at the individual level, asking consumers about the change in income required to buy the same amounts of goods and services one year ahead. Analytically, our methodology possesses smaller ex-post aggregate inflation forecast errors relative to forecasts based on conventional survey questions. We ask this question in a large-scale, high-frequency survey of consumers in the US and 14 countries, and we show that indirect consumer inflation expectations ...
Working Papers
, Paper 22-35
Conference Paper
Are mergers beneficial to consumers? evidence from the market for bank deposits
Panetta, Fabio; Focarelli, Dario
(2002)
Proceedings
, Paper 816
Journal Article
What's happening at the state and local level
anonymous
(2003)
e-Perspectives
, Issue 2
Journal Article
A jump in consumer loans?
Gopalan, Yadav K.; El-Ghazaly, Hoda S.
(2010)
The dramatic increases [in consumer loans] over the past few months have been caused by a new reporting requirement issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board.
Economic Synopses
Working Paper
Regulating two-sided markets: an empirical investigation
Rodriguez-Fernandez, Francisco; Chakravorti, Sujit; Carbo-Valverde, Santiago
(2009)
We study the effect of government encouraged or mandated interchange fee ceilings on consumer and merchant adoption and usage of payment cards in an economy where card acceptance is far from complete. We believe that we are the first to use bank- level data to study the impact of interchange fee regulation. We find that consumer and merchant welfare improved because of increased consumer and merchant adoption leading to greater usage of payment cards. We also find that bank revenues increased when interchange fees were reduced although these results are critically dependent on merchant ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper WP-09-11
Journal Article
1957 survey of consumer finances: the financial position of consumers
Dingle, Mona E.
(1957-08)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Aug
Journal Article
As Manufacturing Weakens, Consumers Pull Back
Mustre-del-Rio, Jose; Pollard, Emily
(2019-11-13)
The United States has faced two recent downturns in manufacturing: one from 2014 to 2015 and one that has been ongoing since 2018. We examine consumption growth at the state level to see how consumers have responded to the current downturn relative to the last. We find that during the current downturn, changes in consumption growth at the state level have been negatively correlated with the state?s share of workers in manufacturing. In contrast, we find the opposite relationship during the 2014?15 downturn.
Economic Bulletin
Journal Article
Recent changes in U.S. family finances: evidence from the 2001 and 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances
Kennickell, Arthur B.; Bucks, Brian K.; Moore, Kevin B.
(2006-03)
Reviews changes in the income and wealth of U.S. families between 2001 and 2004. The discussion draws on data from the Federal Reserve Board's triennial Survey of Consumer Finances for those years and also uses evidence from earlier years of the survey to place the 2001-04 changes in a broader context.
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Volume 92
, Issue Mar
, Pages A1-A38
Journal Article
Survey shows increased income and net worth for U.S. families
anonymous
(2003-04-02)
Financial Update
, Volume 16
, Issue Q 2
Journal Article
Variations in consumer sentiment across demographic groups
Toussaint-Comeau, Maude; McGranahan, Leslie
(2006-01)
Consumer sentiment is one of the many macroeconomic indicators tracked by policymakers and the public. The aggregate numbers in consumer sentiment indexes, such as the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment, conceal a wealth of demographic-specific information. The authors' findings suggest that index disaggregation by group matters because consumer sentiment varies systematically by demographic group.
Economic Perspectives
, Volume 30
, Issue Q I
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