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A regional perspective on the U.S. business cycle
Kouparitsas, Michael A.
(2002-11)
Chicago Fed Letter
, Issue Nov
Report
Using switching models to study business cycle asymmetries: 1. overview of methodology and application
Boldin, Michael D.
(1992)
Switching Models are advocated as interesting and tractable alternatives to conventional, linear models of the business cycle. Applications are motivated by the belief that expansions and recessions are distinct regimes with different data generating processes. Therefore, it is important that econometric specifications capture this fundamental asymmetry. With Switching Models, both the time-periods and characteristics of business cycle regimes can be derived simultaneously. Asymmetries can then be tested with a minimum of prior modeling assumptions and restrictions. Results with monthly data ...
Research Paper
, Paper 9211
Conference Paper
New financial world: policy shortcomings and remedies
Kaufman, Henry
(1998-06)
Conference Series ; [Proceedings]
, Volume 42
, Issue Jun
, Pages 359-370
Working Paper
Endogenous business cycles and the dynamics of output, hours, and consumption
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie
(1998)
This paper studies the business-cycle fluctuations predicted by a two-sector endogenous-business-cycle model with sector-specific external increasing returns to scale. It focuses on aspects of actual fluctuations that have been identified both as defining features of the business cycle and as ones that standard real-business-cycle models cannot explain: the autocorrelation function of output growth, the impulse response function of output to demand shocks, and the forecastable movements of output, hours, and consumption. For empirically realistic calibrations of the degree of sector-specific ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1998-19
Conference Paper
Commentary : understanding the Greenspan standard
Taylor, John B.
(2005-08)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole
, Issue Aug
, Pages 107-118
Conference Paper
Commentary : separating the business cycle from other economic fluctuations
Mankiw, N. Gregory
(2005-08)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole
, Issue Aug
, Pages 187-192
Journal Article
Changes in inventory management and the business cycle
Allen, Donald S.
(1995-07)
Review
, Issue Jul
, Pages 17-26
Working Paper
Partisan cycles and the consumption volatility puzzle
Azzimonti-Renzo, Marina; Talbert, Matthew
(2011)
Standard real business cycle theory predicts that consumption should be smoother than output, as observed in developed countries. In emerging economies, however, consumption is more volatile than income. In this paper the authors provide a novel explanation of this phenomenon, the ?consumption volatility puzzle,? based on political frictions. They develop a dynamic stochastic political economy model where parties that disagree on the size of government (right-wing and left-wing) alternate in power and face aggregate uncertainty. While productivity shocks affect only consumption through ...
Working Papers
, Paper 11-21
Working Paper
Specific factors meet intermediate inputs: implications for strategic complementarities and persistence.
Huang, Kevin X. D.
(2005)
A central challenge to monetary business-cycle theory is to find a solution to the problem of persistence and delay in the real effects of monetary shocks. Previous research has identified separately specific factors and intermediate inputs as two promising mechanisms for generating the persistence and delay in a staggered price-setting framework. Models based on either of these two mechanisms have also been used in the design of optimal monetary policy. ; By examining a staggered price model that features both specific factors and intermediate inputs, the author finds an offsetting ...
Working Papers
, Paper 04-7
Working Paper
Output dynamics in real business cycle models
Nason, James M.; Cogley, Timothy
(1993)
The time series literature reports two stylized facts about output dynamics in the United States. GNP growth is positively autocorrelated over short horizons and negatively autocorrelated over longer horizons, and GNP has an important trend reverting component which has a hump-shaped moving average representation. We consider whether various real business cycle (RBC) models are consistent with these stylized facts. ; We find that many RBC models have weak internal propagation mechanisms and must rely on exogenous factors to replicate both stylized facts. In particular, intertemporal ...
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
, Paper 93-10
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