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Sovereign Risk Contagion

We develop a theory of sovereign risk contagion based on financial links. In our multi-country model, sovereign bond spreads comove because default in one country can trigger default in other countries. Countries are linked because they borrow, default, and renegotiate with common lenders, and the bond price and recovery schedules for each country depend on the choices of other countries. A foreign default increases the lenders' pricing kernel, which makes home borrowing more expensive and can induce a home default. Countries also default together because by doing so they can renegotiate the ...
Staff Report , Paper 559

Journal Article
Preface - credit derivatives: where's the risk?

This interview, conducted shortly after the Atlanta Fed's 2007 Financial Markets Conference, discusses credit derivatives and their importance to the market and outlines key themes of the conference.
Economic Review , Volume 92 , Issue Q4 , Pages v - vii

Journal Article
Railroad redux

The Region , Volume 15 , Issue Dec , Pages 4-9

Conference Paper
Is there a "credit channel" for monetary policy?

Proceedings , Issue May , Pages 63-77

Journal Article
President's perspective

When individuals and firms have faith that monetary policymakers will stick to the rules over time, they can better anticipate the future and make economic decisions accordingly.
Southwest Economy , Issue May , Pages 2

Discussion Paper
Do Unemployment Benefits Expirations Help Explain the Surge in Job Openings?

Job openings are arguably one of the most important indicators of recovery in the labor market, as they reflect employers? willingness to hire. The number of job openings has recovered steadily since the recession, yet through the end of 2013, the openings rate was still substantially below its pre-recession peak (see chart below). Starting in January 2014, however, the number of job openings increased dramatically, up by 20 percent through June 2014, and job openings relative to employment jumped back to the peak of the previous expansion. In this post, we argue that the expiration of the ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20140930

Discussion Paper
How Much Student Debt is Out There?

As is widely known, student loan debt has expanded significantly over the past decade or so and stands at historically high levels. But how much in total do students owe?
FEDS Notes , Paper 2015-08-07

Journal Article
Interim common rule issued to amend the appraisal regulations of the federal financial institutions regulatory agencies

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Mar , Pages 174

Journal Article
Is the COVID-19 Pandemic a Supply or a Demand Shock?

Labor supply shocks likely account for most of the fall in hours worked.
Economic Synopses , Issue 31

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