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Working Paper
Strategic Liquidity Mismatch and Financial Sector Stability
Silva, Andre
(2019-11-25)
This paper examines whether banks strategically incorporate their competitors? liquidity mismatch policies when determining their own and how these collective decisions impact financial sector stability. Using a novel identification strategy exploiting the presence of partially overlapping peer groups, I show that banks? liquidity transformation activity is driven by that of their peers. These correlated decisions are concentrated on the asset side of riskier banks and are asymmetric, with mimicking occurring only when competitors are taking more risk. Accordingly, this strategic behavior ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2019-082
Working Paper
Villains or Scapegoats? The Role of Subprime Borrowers in Driving the U.S. Housing Boom
Gerardi, Kristopher S.; Frame, W. Scott; Conklin, James; Liu, Haoyang
(2020-05-19)
An expansion in mortgage credit to subprime borrowers is widely believed to have been a principal driver of the 2002–2006 U.S. house price boom. By contrast, this paper documents a robust, negative correlation between the growth in the share of purchase mortgages to subprime borrowers and house price appreciation at the county-level during this time. Using two different instrumental variables approaches, we also establish causal evidence that house price appreciation lowered the share of purchase loans to subprime borrowers. Further analysis using micro-level credit bureau data shows that ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2013
Report
International Trade, Risk and the Role of Banks
Schmidt-Eisenlohr, Tim; Niepmann, Friederike
(2013-09-01)
Banks play a critical role in international trade by providing trade finance products that reduce the risk of exporting. This paper employs two new data sets to shed light on the magnitude and structure of this business, which, as we show, is highly concentrated in a few large banks. The two principal trade finance instruments, letters of credit and documentary collections, covered about 10 percent of U.S. exports in 2012. They are preferred for larger transactions, which indicates the existence of substantial fixed costs in the provision and use of these instruments. Letters of credit are ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 633
Working Paper
Consumer risk appetite, the credit cycle, and the housing bubble
Breeden, Joseph L.; Canals-Cerda, Jose J.
(2016-02-18)
We explore the role of consumer risk appetite in the initiation of credit cycles and as an early trigger of the U.S. mortgage crisis. We analyze a panel data set of mortgages originated between the years 2000 and 2009 and follow their performance up to 2014. After controlling for all the usual observable effects, we show that a strong residual vintage effect remains. This vintage effect correlates well with consumer mortgage demand, as measured by the Federal Reserve Board?s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, and correlates well to changes in mortgage pricing at the time the loan was ...
Working Papers
, Paper 16-5
Working Paper
Monitoring Banking System Fragility with Big Data
Hale, Galina; Lopez, Jose A.
(2017-09-15)
The need to monitor aggregate financial stability was made clear during the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, and, of course, the need to monitor individual financial firms from a microprudential standpoint remains. In this paper, we propose a procedure based on mixed-frequency models and network analysis to help address both of these policy concerns. We decompose firm-specific stock returns into two components: one that is explained by observed covariates (or fitted values), the other unexplained (or residuals). We construct networks based on the co-movement of these components. Analysis ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2018-1
Working Paper
Bad Sovereign or Bad Balance Sheets? Euro Interbank Market Fragmentation and Monetary Policy, 2011-2015
Gabrieli, Silvia; Labonne, Claire
(2018-07-12)
We measure the relative role of sovereign-dependence risk and balance sheet (credit) risk in euro area interbank market fragmentation from 2011 to 2015. We combine bank-to-bank loan data with detailed supervisory information on banks? cross-border and cross-sector exposures. We study the impact of the credit risk on banks? balance sheets on their access to, and the price paid for, interbank liquidity, controlling for sovereign-dependence risk and lenders? liquidity shocks. We find that (i) high non-performing loan ratios on the GIIPS portfolio hinder banks? access to the interbank market ...
Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers
, Paper RPA 18-3
Journal Article
Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Interest Rate Spillovers
Dilts Stedman, Karlye
(2020-10-15)
After the 2008 global financial crisis, advanced economies turned to unconventional monetary policies to provide additional monetary stimulus while short-term interest rates were constrained by their effective lower bound. However, the speed of economic recovery differed markedly among these economies, leading to differences in the timing and intensity of unconventional monetary policies across central banks. These differences may have generated “spillover effects” that undermined policy tightening in the United States after 2015.Karlye Dilts Stedman assesses whether monetary policies ...
Economic Review
, Volume 105
, Issue no.2
, Pages 47-60
Working Paper
Did Doubling Reserve Requirements Cause the 1937-38 Recession? New Evidence on the Impact of Reserve Requirements on Bank Reserve Demand and Lending
Calomiris, Charles W.; Mason, Joseph R.; Wheelock, David C.
(2022-05-04)
In 1936-37, the Federal Reserve doubled member banks' reserve requirements. Friedman and Schwartz (1963) famously argued that the doubling increased reserve demand and forced the money supply to contract, which they argued caused the recession of 1937-38. Using a new database on individual banks, we show that higher reserve requirements did not generally increase banks' reserve demand or contract lending because reserve requirements were not binding for most banks. Aggregate effects on credit supply from reserve requirement increases were therefore economically small and statistically zero.
Working Papers
, Paper 2022-011
Report
The payment system benefits of high reserve balances
Kroeger, Alexander; McAndrews, James J.
(2016-06-01)
The policy measures taken since the financial crisis have greatly expanded the size of the Federal Reserve?s balance sheet and have thus raised the level of aggregate bank reserves as well. Over the same period there has been a significant shift in the timing of payments made over the Federal Reserve?s Fedwire Funds Service toward earlier settlement. This paper documents this timing change and presents regression results suggesting that the increase in overall reserve balances explains the vast majority of this development. The paper also discusses the benefits of high aggregate reserve ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 779
Working Paper
Credit scoring and loan default
Bhardwaj, Geetesh; Sengupta, Rajdeep
(2015-02-01)
A metric of credit score performance is developed to study the usage and performance of credit scoring in the loan origination process. We examine the performance of origination FICO scores as measures of ex ante borrower creditworthiness using loan-level data on ex post performance of subprime mortgages. Parametric and nonparametric estimates of credit score performance reveal different trends, especially on originations with low credit scores. The data suggest a trend of increased emphasis on higher credit scores accompanying a trend of increased riskiness in other origination attributes. ...
Research Working Paper
, Paper RWP 15-2
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G02 2 items
G1 2 items
G19 2 items
G5 2 items
H25 2 items
H6 2 items
H84 2 items
I15 2 items
I22 2 items
I3 2 items
J31 2 items
M40 2 items
M42 2 items
M48 2 items
N10 2 items
O17 2 items
O18 2 items
O30 2 items
O33 2 items
P16 2 items
Q51 2 items
R12 2 items
R23 2 items
A14 1 items
B26 1 items
C15 1 items
C18 1 items
C22 1 items
C34 1 items
C35 1 items
C44 1 items
C45 1 items
C50 1 items
C58 1 items
C63 1 items
C72 1 items
C73 1 items
C9 1 items
C93 1 items
D01 1 items
D10 1 items
D13 1 items
D22 1 items
D23 1 items
D30 1 items
D4 1 items
D44 1 items
D52 1 items
D72 1 items
D8 1 items
D80 1 items
E00 1 items
E03 1 items
E1 1 items
E13 1 items
E25 1 items
E53 1 items
E6 1 items
E61 1 items
E62 1 items
E63 1 items
F10 1 items
F14 1 items
F16 1 items
F22 1 items
F37 1 items
F38 1 items
F4 1 items
G39 1 items
G41 1 items
H11 1 items
H23 1 items
H24 1 items
H3 1 items
H30 1 items
H32 1 items
H72 1 items
H75 1 items
I18 1 items
I30 1 items
J12 1 items
J30 1 items
J65 1 items
J7 1 items
K11 1 items
K12 1 items
K20 1 items
K22 1 items
K23 1 items
K38 1 items
K40 1 items
L15 1 items
L23 1 items
L26 1 items
L33 1 items
L49 1 items
L50 1 items
L62 1 items
L86 1 items
L89 1 items
M13 1 items
M37 1 items
M50 1 items
M52 1 items
M55 1 items
N2 1 items
N24 1 items
N26 1 items
N41 1 items
O12 1 items
O15 1 items
O42 1 items
O47 1 items
O55 1 items
P48 1 items
Q15 1 items
Q5 1 items
R2 1 items
Z1 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
banks 57 items
financial crisis 46 items
monetary policy 44 items
mortgages 41 items
Mortgage 37 items
COVID-19 34 items
Banking 34 items
Regulation 34 items
Bank lending 32 items
liquidity 31 items
systemic risk 29 items
financial stability 27 items
Federal Reserve 20 items
fintech 20 items
Credit cards 19 items
Risk management 19 items
bank regulation 18 items
Banks and banking 17 items
Bank loans 17 items
Bank capital 16 items
credit supply 16 items
securitization 16 items
global banks 15 items
stress tests 15 items
bank runs 15 items
Bankruptcy 14 items
Bank risk 14 items
Financial crises 14 items
Mortgage lending 13 items
Payments 13 items
Bank profits 12 items
Foreclosure 12 items
Great Recession 12 items
Interest rates 12 items
Bank supervision 12 items
Consumer credit 12 items
Consumption 12 items
financial intermediation 12 items
Small business lending 12 items
Climate change 11 items
Commercial real estate 11 items
heterogeneity 11 items
inequality 11 items
Bank assets 10 items
Discount window 10 items
Funding for lending 10 items
Credit 10 items
Financial institutions 10 items
Housing 10 items
Risk 10 items
interbank markets 10 items
Stress testing 10 items
capital requirements 10 items
Discrimination 9 items
Monetary policy tools 9 items
Delinquency 9 items
Household finance 9 items
Macroprudential policy 9 items
leverage 9 items
market discipline 9 items
mortgage finance 9 items
Bank failures 9 items
Federal Reserve System 8 items
Great Depression 8 items
mortgage defaults 8 items
Default 8 items
Homeownership 8 items
Operational Risk 8 items
contagion 8 items
corporate governance 8 items
credit constraints 8 items
too big to fail 8 items
Risk taking 8 items
credit scores 8 items
Fair lending 7 items
Unbanked 7 items
home equity 7 items
household finances 7 items
international banking 7 items
monetary policy transmission 7 items
money market funds 7 items
Bank Profitability 7 items
Central Bank Digital Currency 7 items
Mortgage loans 7 items
banking panics 7 items
business cycles 7 items
evergreening 7 items
misallocation 7 items
small business 7 items
interbank networks 7 items
Basel III 6 items
Community Reinvestment Act 6 items
Fannie Mae 6 items
Financial Distress 6 items
Freddie Mac 6 items
LTV 6 items
deposit insurance 6 items
liquidity regulations 6 items
mortgage refinancing 6 items
shadow banking 6 items
Credit risk 6 items
Employment 6 items
Lender of Last Resort 6 items
Mortgage Default 6 items
Quantitative Easing 6 items
Unconventional Monetary Policy 6 items
bailout 6 items
foreclosures 6 items
syndicated loans 6 items
Bank Credit 6 items
CARES Act 5 items
Credit score 5 items
GSEs 5 items
MBS 5 items
Paycheck Protection Program 5 items
Welfare 5 items
capital regulations 5 items
cost of capital 5 items
financial regulations 5 items
house prices 5 items
housing boom 5 items
intermediation 5 items
loan sales 5 items
marketplace lending 5 items
subprime 5 items
zombie firms 5 items
Central banking 5 items
Community banks 5 items
Credit Card Debt 5 items
Disclosure 5 items
bank holding companies 5 items
cross-border banking 5 items
liquidity risk 5 items
Appraisal 4 items
Automated underwriting 4 items
Bailouts 4 items
Bank mergers 4 items
Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 4 items
Credit Card 4 items
Federal Reserve lending facilities 4 items
GSE 4 items
Geography 4 items
Home Mortgage Disclosure Act 4 items
Home ownership 4 items
Main Street Lending Program 4 items
Mortgages and credit 4 items
QE 4 items
TARP 4 items
TBA 4 items
asymmetric information 4 items
credit risks 4 items
diversification 4 items
federal funds rates 4 items
global games 4 items
government-sponsored enterprises 4 items
household debt 4 items
housing finance 4 items
letters of credit 4 items
money markets 4 items
mortgage repayment 4 items
networks 4 items
racial inequality 4 items
shocks transmission 4 items
supervision 4 items
zombie lending 4 items
Adverse selection 4 items
Bank Competition 4 items
Bank lending channel 4 items
Banking industry 4 items
Community Banking 4 items
Credit default swaps 4 items
Digital currencies 4 items
Monetary Transmission 4 items
Banking Regulation 3 items
CARD Act 3 items
Capital 3 items
Competition 3 items
Consumer behavior 3 items
Convenience yields 3 items
Electronic funds transfers 3 items
Emerging markets 3 items
Federal Housing Administration 3 items
Fedwire 3 items
Financial constraints 3 items
Information 3 items
Institutional investors 3 items
Liquidity requirements 3 items
Modifications 3 items
P2P lending 3 items
PPP 3 items
PPPLF 3 items
Pandemic 3 items
Payment systems 3 items
Procyclicality 3 items
Recession 3 items
Rewards 3 items
Savings and loans crisis 3 items
Sufficient statistics 3 items
United States 3 items
allowances 3 items
antitrust 3 items
auto loans 3 items
bank performance 3 items
bank run 3 items
corporate bonds 3 items
covered bonds 3 items
credit boom 3 items
credit crunch 3 items
credit cycles 3 items
credit performance 3 items
crisis 3 items
cryptocurrencies 3 items
debt 3 items
deferred cash compensation 3 items
deposit rates 3 items
deposits 3 items
fed funds 3 items
federal funds market 3 items
financial innovations 3 items
financial networks 3 items
financial shocks 3 items
forbearance 3 items
government intervention 3 items
lending club 3 items
merger control 3 items
mergers and acquisitions 3 items
money 3 items
moral hazard 3 items
mortgage servicing 3 items
multinational banks 3 items
negative equity 3 items
net interest margins 3 items
overnight RRP 3 items
peer-to-peer lending 3 items
private information 3 items
reaching for yield 3 items
relationship lending 3 items
residential mortgages 3 items
risk exposures 3 items
risk-taking 3 items
spillovers 3 items
stablecoins 3 items
technological change 3 items
trade finance 3 items
unemployment 3 items
value at risk 3 items
wholesale funding 3 items
Agency MBS 2 items
BAPCPA 2 items
Bank balance sheet liquidity 2 items
Bank equity 2 items
Bank examination reports 2 items
Bank resolution 2 items
Bank size 2 items
Bank trading 2 items
Banking conditions 2 items
Banking organizations 2 items
Banking panic 2 items
Banking structure 2 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 2 items
Basel capital ratios 2 items
Bayesian inference 2 items
Benchmarking 2 items
Branch 2 items
CAMELS 2 items
CCAR 2 items
CCPs 2 items
CDS spreads 2 items
CECL 2 items
COFI 2 items
COVID-19 pandemic 2 items
Central counterparties 2 items
China 2 items
Collateral 2 items
Collateral channel 2 items
Commercial banks 2 items
Commercial loans 2 items
Common Ownership 2 items
Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) 2 items
Construction 2 items
Consumer protection 2 items
Cost of funds 2 items
Counterparty risk 2 items
Credit easing 2 items
Credit markets 2 items
Credit rationing 2 items
Credit scoring 2 items
Cross-border exposure 2 items
Denmark 2 items
Dodd-Frank 2 items
Early warning system 2 items
Enforcement actions 2 items
FDIC 2 items
FHA 2 items
FHA mortgages 2 items
Federal Savings and Loans Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) 2 items
Financial Economics 2 items
Financial Stability Board 2 items
Financial inclusion 2 items
Financial regulation 2 items
Financial sophistication 2 items
Financial systems 2 items
Fixed-rate mortgage 2 items
Global banking 2 items
HAMP 2 items
HARP 2 items
HELOC 2 items
Hedging 2 items
Home Equity Conversion Mortgage 2 items
Interbank market 2 items
Interest rate 2 items
International finance 2 items
LCR 2 items
LIBOR 2 items
Lending Channel 2 items
Lending standards 2 items
Lerner index 2 items
Limited deposit insurance coverage 2 items
Liquidity management 2 items
Liquidity regulation 2 items
Loan pricing 2 items
Margin 2 items
Monitoring 2 items
Mortgage crisis 2 items
National Banking system 2 items
Native Americans 2 items
Natural language processing 2 items
Negative Interest Rates 2 items
Nonbanks 2 items
Organizational complexity 2 items
Over-the-counter markets 2 items
Price dispersion 2 items
Private money 2 items
Private supervisory information 2 items
Property Valuation 2 items
ROE 2 items
Redlining 2 items
Regulations 2 items
Regulatory capital 2 items
Residential real estate 2 items
Sandy 2 items
Single Security Initiative 2 items
Sovereign Debt 2 items
Stigma 2 items
Technology 2 items
Too-big-to-fail 2 items
Trade credit 2 items
Treasury 2 items
Troubled Asset Relief Program 2 items
UMBS 2 items
accelerated failure time model 2 items
adjustable-rate 2 items
alternative data 2 items
bank capital regulations 2 items
bank closures 2 items
bank complexity 2 items
bank size distributions 2 items
banking competition 2 items
banking crises 2 items
banking regulations 2 items
bargaining 2 items
beta 2 items
blockchain 2 items
call loan rate 2 items
capital structure 2 items
climate risk 2 items
collateral constraints 2 items
complexity 2 items
concentration 2 items
consumer financial protection 2 items
consumer preferences 2 items
contract enforcement 2 items
contracts 2 items
corporate bond markets 2 items
cov-lite 2 items
credit access 2 items
credit agreements 2 items
credit demand 2 items
credit exposures 2 items
credit loss 2 items
credit risk transfer 2 items
credit supply shocks 2 items
culture 2 items
cyber 2 items
cybersecurity 2 items
default spillovers 2 items
disaster relief 2 items
disinflation 2 items
elder fraud 2 items
emergency lending facilities 2 items
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