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Working Paper
The Evolution of Lifetime Hours and the Gender Wage Gap
Leukhina, Oksana; Vandenbroucke, Guillaume (2023-09)
The gender wage gap decreased (opened) from 1940 to 1975 and then increased (closed) until 2010. We use the model introduced in Ben-Porath (1967) to assess the role of gender differences in life cycle profiles of market time in explaining this dynamics. Men's profiles changed little across cohorts, but women's profiles converged to that of men implying, eventually, stronger incentives for women to accumulate human capital. We calibrate the model and find that (1) The 1940-75 decrease of the gap was because men valued human capital more than women due to their working more. The 1975-10 ...
Working Papers , Paper 2022-025

Working Paper
The Allocation of Immigrant Talent: Macroeconomic Implications for the U.S. and Across Countries
See, Kurt; Birinci, Serdar; Leibovici, Fernando (2024-09-18)
We quantify the labor market barriers that immigrants face, using an occupational choice model with native-born individuals and immigrants of multiple types subject to wedges that distort their allocations. We find sizable output gains from removing immigrant wedges in the U.S., representing 25% of immigrants' overall economic contribution, and that these wedges alter the impact of alternative immigration policies. We harmonize microdata across 19 economies and exploit cross-country variation in immigrant outcomes and estimated wedges to examine the drivers of differences in wedges and gains ...
Working Papers , Paper 2021-004

Working Paper
Consumer Bankruptcy, Mortgage Default and Labor Supply
Li, Wenli; Meghir, Costas; Oswald, Florian (2022-08-30)
We specify and estimate a lifecycle model of consumption, housing demand and labor supply in an environment where individuals may file for bankruptcy or default on their mortgage. Uncertainty in the model is driven by house price shocks, education specific productivity shocks, and catastrophic consumption events, while bankruptcy is governed by the basic institutional framework in the U.S. as implied by Chapter 7 and Chapter 13. The model is estimated using micro data on credit reports and mortgages combined with data from the American Community Survey. We use the model to understand the ...
Working Papers , Paper 22-26

Journal Article
After 40 Years, How Representative Are Labor Market Outcomes in the NLSY79?
Bick, Alexander; Blandin, Adam; Rogerson, Richard (2025-02-10)
In 1979, the National Longitudinal Study of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) began following a group of U.S. residents born between 1957 and 1964 and has continued to reinterview these same individuals for more than four decades. Despite this long sampling period, attrition remains modest. This article shows that after 40 years of data collection, the remaining NLSY79 sample continues to be broadly representative of their national cohorts regarding key labor market outcomes. For NLSY79 age cohorts, life-cycle profiles of employment, hours worked, and earnings are comparable to those in the Current ...
Review , Volume 107 , Issue 2 , Pages 1-50

Working Paper
Early Life Environment and Racial Inequality in Education and Earnings in the United States
Guryan, Jonathan; Chay, Kenneth Y.; Mazumder, Bhashkar (2014-11-13)
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-2014-28

Working Paper
Earnings Dynamics and Its Intergenerational Transmission: Evidence from Norway
Ozkan, Serdar; Salgado, Sergio; Halvorsen, Elin (2021-12-16)
Using administrative data from Norway, we first present stylized facts on labor earnings dynamics between 1993 and 2017 and its heterogeneity across narrow population groups. We then investigate the parents’ role in children’s income dynamics—the intergenerational transmission of income dynamics. We find that children of high-income, high-wealth fathers enjoy steeper income growth over the life cycle and face more volatile but more positively skewed income changes, suggesting that they are more likely to pursue high-return, high-risk careers. Children of poorer fathers also face more ...
Working Papers , Paper 2021-015

Working Paper
Why did Rich Families Increase their Fertility? Inequality and Marketization of Child Care
Leukhina, Oksana; Weiss, David; Zoabi, Hosny; Bar, Michael; Hazan, Moshe (2018-09-25)
A negative relationship between income and fertility has persisted for so long that its existence is often taken for granted. One economic theory builds on this relationship and argues that rising inequality leads to greater differential fertility between rich and poor. We show that the relationship between income and fertility has ?attened between 1980 and 2010 in the US, a time of increasing inequality, as high income families increased their fertility. These facts challenge the standard theory. We propose that marketization of parental time costs can explain the changing relationship ...
Working Papers , Paper 2018-22

Working Paper
Granular Income Inequality and Mobility using IDDA: Exploring Patterns across Race and Ethnicity
Kondo, Illenin O.; Rinz, Kevin; Gubbay, Natalie; Hawkins, Brandon; Voorheis, John; Wozniak, Abigail (2024-07-19)
We explore the evolution of income inequality and mobility in the U.S. for a large number of subnational groups defined by race and ethnicity, using granular statistics describing income distributions, income mobility, and conditional income growth derived from the universe of tax filers and W-2 recipients that we observe over a two-decade period (1998–2019). We find that income inequality and income growth patterns identified from administrative tax records differ in important ways from those that one might identify in public survey sources. The full set of statistics that we construct is ...
Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers , Paper 095

Report
Analyzing the Effects of Occupational Licensing on Earnings Inequality in the United States
Bae, Kihwan; Kleiner, Morris M.; Norris, Conor; Timmons, Edward (2025-05-14)
There is a consensus that there is an earnings premium for licensed workers relative to unlicensed workers. However, little is known about how occupational licensing affects earnings inequality. In this paper, we study dynamic, heterogeneous earnings effects of occupational licensing and draw implications for earnings inequality in the United States. First, we find that the earnings gap between workers in licensed occupations and those in unlicensed occupations with similar characteristics (“licensing premium”) increased slightly during the 1983–2019 period. Second, we find that the ...
Staff Report , Paper 669

Working Paper
Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin
Davis, Steven J.; Krolikowski, Pawel (2023-05-15)
We design and field an innovative survey of unemployment insurance (UI) recipients that yields new insights about wage stickiness on the layoff margin. Most UI recipients express a willingness to accept wage cuts of 5-10 percent to save their jobs, and one-third would accept a 25 percent cut. Yet worker-employer discussions about cuts in pay, benefits, or hours in lieu of layoffs are exceedingly rare. When asked why employers don’t raise the possibility of job-preserving pay cuts, four-in-ten UI recipients don’t know. Sixteen percent say cuts would undermine morale or lead the best ...
Working Papers , Paper 23-12

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