Search Results
Working Paper
Bank Relationships and the Geography of PPP Lending
Glancy, David P.
(2023-02-16)
I study how bank relationships affected the timing and geographic distribution of Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) lending. Half of banks' PPP loans went to borrowers within 2 miles of a branch, mostly driven by relationship lending. Firms near less active lenders shifted to fintechs and other distant lenders, resulting in delays receiving credit but only slightly lower loan volumes. I estimate a structural model to fit the observed relationship between branch distance, bank PPP activity, and origination timing. I find that banks served relationship borrowers 5 to 9 days before other ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2023-014
Working Paper
What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses?
See, Kurt; Birinci, Serdar; Bhandari, Anmol; McGrattan, Ellen R.
(2020-01)
This paper examines the reliability of survey data on business incomes, valuations, and rates of return, which are key inputs for studies of wealth inequality and entrepreneurial choice. We compare survey responses of business owners with available data from administrative tax records, brokered private business sales, and publicly traded company filings and document problems due to nonrepresentative samples and measurement errors across several surveys, subsamples, and years. We find that the discrepancies are economically relevant for the statistics of interest. We investigate reasons for ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2019-021
Working Paper
Micro- and Macroeconomic Impacts of a Place-Based Industrial Policy
Atalay, Enghin; Hortacsu, Ali; Runyun, Mustafa; Syverson, Chad; Ulu, Mehmet Faith
(2023-06-13)
We investigate the impact of a set of place-based subsidies introduced in Turkey in 2012. Using firm-level balance-sheet data along with data on the domestic production network, we first assess the policy’s direct and indirect impacts. We find an increase in economic activity in industry-province pairs that were the focus of the subsidy program, and positive spillovers to the suppliers and customers of subsidized firms. With the aid of a dynamic multi-region, multi-industry general equilibrium model, we then assess the program’s impacts. Based on the calibrated model, we find that, in the ...
Working Papers
, Paper 23-12
Report
The Effect of Bank Monitoring on Loan Repayment
Branzoli, Nicola; Fringuellotti, Fulvia
(2020-05-01)
Monitoring is one of the main activities explaining the existence of banks, yet empirical evidence about its effect on loan outcomes is scant. Using granular loan-level information from the Italian Credit Register, we build a novel measure of bank monitoring based on banks’ requests for information on their existing borrowers and we investigate the effect of bank monitoring on loan repayment. We perform a causal analysis exploiting changes in the regional corporate tax rate as a source of exogenous variation in bank monitoring. Our identification strategy is supported by a theoretical model ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 923
Journal Article
Assisting Firms during a Crisis: Benefits and Costs
Wall, Larry D.
(2020-08-10)
Public and private efforts to reduce COVID-19 infection levels have led to a sharp drop in economic activity around the world. In an attempt to mitigate the damage to businesses, governments around the world have implemented a variety of financial programs to help firms. These programs have been criticized as interfering with markets, providing bailouts, and creating adverse incentives. In this article, I review both the rationale for government-provided assistance and the costs of providing that assistance from the perspective of how that aid effects the likely level and volatility of ...
Policy Hub
, Volume 2020
, Issue 10
, Pages 18
Working Paper
Nothing is Certain Except Death and Taxes : The Lack of Policy Uncertainty from Expiring \"Temporary\" Taxes
Chang, Andrew C.
(2018-06-22)
What is the policy uncertainty surrounding expiring taxes? How uncertain are the approvals of routine extensions of temporary tax policies? To answer these questions, I use event studies to measure cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) for firms that claimed the U.S. research and development (R&D) tax credit from 1996-2015. In 1996, the U.S. R&D tax credit was statutorily temporary but was routinely extended ten times until 2015, when it was made permanent. I take the event dates as both when these ten extensions of the R&D tax credit were introduced into committee and when the extensions were ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2018-041
Report
What Do Survey Data Tell Us about U.S. Businesses?
Birinci, Serdar; See, Kurt; McGrattan, Ellen R.; Bhandari, Anmol
(2018-06-21)
This paper examines the reliability of survey data for research on pass-through businesses activities. Passthrough businesses account for over half of all net income to businesses in the United States and most of the rise in top income shares. We examine all surveys that ask questions about these businesses and compare outcomes across surveys and with aggregated administrative data. We document large inconsistencies in business incomes, receipts, and number of returns. We highlight problems due to non-representative samples and measurement errors. Non-representativeness is reflected in ...
Staff Report
, Paper 568
Working Paper
State Investment Tax Incentives: A Zero-Sum Game?
Chirinko, Robert S.; Wilson, Daniel J.
(2008-07-01)
Over the past four decades, state investment tax incentives have proliferated. This emergence of state investment tax credits (ITC) and other investment tax incentives raises two important questions: 1) Are these tax incentives effective in achieving their stated objective, to increase investment within the state?; 2) To the extent these incentives raise investment within the state, how much of this increase is due to investment drawn away from other states? To begin to answer these questions, we construct a detailed panel dataset for 48 states for 20+ years. The dataset contains series on ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2006-47
Working Paper
Market Power and the Heterogeneous Pass-through of Corporate Taxes to Consumer Prices
Dedola, Luca; Osbat, Chiara; Reinelt, Timo
(2025-11-06)
We study the pass-through of corporate taxes into consumer prices, leveraging 1,058 municipal tax rate changes affecting 4,754 German firms. A 1 p.p. increase in a producer’s tax rate raises retail prices by 0.3% on average, consistent with imperfectly competitive producers. Product-level pass-through varies substantially, as it increases in destination-specific product and retailer-category market shares. We find little evidence linking heterogeneous passthrough to differences in retailer efficiency as reflected in relative consumer prices. Instead, our findings align with standard non-CES ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2025-25
Discussion Paper
Tax Reform's Impact on Bank and Corporate Cyclicality
Van Tassel, Peter; Sanchez, Vanesa; Kovner, Anna; Aragon, Diego
(2018-07-16)
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) is expected to increase after-tax profits for most companies, primarily by lowering the top corporate statutory tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent. At the same time, the TCJA provides less favorable treatment of net operating losses and limits the deductibility of net interest expense. We explain how the latter set of changes may heighten bank and corporate borrower cyclicality by making bank capital and default risk for highly levered corporations more sensitive to economic downturns.
Liberty Street Economics
, Paper 20180716
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