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Showing results 1 to 10 of approximately 4,219.
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Working Paper
Another hidden cost of incentives: the detrimental effect on norm enforcement
Fuster, Andreas; Meier, Stephan
(2009)
Monetary incentives are often considered as a way to foster contributions to public goods in society and firms. This paper investigates experimentally the effect of monetary incentives in the presence of a norm enforcement mechanism. Norm enforcement through peer punishment has been shown to be effective in raising contributions by itself. We test whether and how monetary incentives interact with punishment and how this in turn affects contributions. Our main findings are that free riders are punished less harshly in the treatment with incentives, and as a consequence, average contributions ...
Working Papers
, Paper 09-2
Working Paper
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence
Owyang, Michael T.; Chiodo, Abbigail J.
(2002)
We study the duration of monetary regimes in a simple neo-classical Phillips curve model. The model is an extension of Owyang (2001) and Owyang and Ramey (2001). In this paper, we consider the role of the duration of inflationary regimes on the average inflation rate in an international cross-section. We find that inflationary regimes in certain countries are duration dependent but anti-inflationary regimes are not. In addition, we find that countries with high central banker turnover switch from inflationary to anti-inflationary with lower probability.
Working Papers
, Paper 2002-021
Working Paper
Reconsidering the Fed’s Forecasting Advantage
Owyang, Michael T.; McCracken, Michael W.; Guisinger, Amy Y.
(2022-01)
Previous studies show the Fed has a forecast advantage over the private sector, either because it devotes more resources to forecasting or because it has an informational advantage in knowing the path of future monetary policy. We evaluate the Fed’s forecast advantage to determine how much of it results from the Fed’s knowledge of the conditioning path. We develop two tests—an instrumental variable encompassing test and a path-dependent encompassing test—to equalize the Fed’s information set with the private sector’s. We find that, generally, the Fed does not encompass the private ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2022-001
Working Paper
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR
Owyang, Michael T.
(2002)
Recently, models of monetary policy have been constructed to include structural breaks to account for changes in policymaker preferences or operating procedures. These models typically assume that when changes occur, they happen once and for all. In this paper, we allow the policymaker and the economy to switch freely between regimes. We find that not only does the nature and effect of innovations to monetary policy change, but switching the policy rule and the economy's subsequent response can in and of itself alter the path of the economy. We find the switch itself can generate ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2002-018
Working Paper
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy
Wall, Howard J.; Owyang, Michael T.
(2004)
Using a regional VAR, we find large differences in the effects of monetary policy shocks across regions of the United States. We also find that the region-level effects of monetary policy differ a great deal between the pre-Volcker and Volcker-Greenspan periods in terms of their depth and length. The two sample periods also yield very different rankings of the regions in terms of the effects of monetary policy. Our regional VAR also suggests that aggregate VARs that ignore regional variations can suffer from severe aggregation bias. We use the results of our regional VAR to find evidence that ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2003-008
Working Paper
Perfectual signaling with imperfectly correlated costs
Mester, Loretta J.
(1992)
Working Papers
, Paper 92-8
Working Paper
Ricardian equivalence under income uncertainty
Croushore, Dean
(1992)
Working Papers
, Paper 92-6
Working Paper
Accounting for racial wealth disparities in the United States
Thompson, Jeffrey P.; Suarez, Gustavo A.
(2019-12-01)
Using data from the Survey of Consumer Finances, this paper updates and extends previous research on the racial wealth gap in the United States. We explore several hypotheses that help explain differential wealth accumulation by racial groups, including the importance of receiving inheritances and other financial support from relatives and the conditions in local real estate markets. By exploring the disparities among white, black, and Hispanic families, we make new contributions to the literature. We find that observable factors account for the entire wealth gap between white and Hispanic ...
Working Papers
, Paper 19-13
Working Paper
Does Fed policy reveal a ternary mandate?
Tootell, Geoffrey M. B.; Rosengren, Eric S.; Peek, Joe
(2016-09-01)
This paper examines the role of financial instability in setting monetary policy. The paper begins with a model that examines the interaction of monetary and regulatory policy. It then empirically tests whether financial instability has affected monetary policy. One important innovation is to construct a measure of financial instability directly related to the FOMC financial instability concerns expressed in FOMC meeting transcripts. We find that, even after controlling for forecasts of inflation and unemployment, the word counts of terms related to financial instability do correlate with ...
Working Papers
, Paper 16-11
Working Paper
Raising the Inflation Target: How Much Extra Room Does It Really Give?
Schoenle, Raphael; L'Huillier, Jean-Paul
(2020-06-16)
Some, but less than intended. The reason is a shift in the behavior of the private sector: Prices adjust more frequently, lowering the potency of monetary policy. We quantitatively investigate this channel across different models, based on a calibration using micro data. By raising the target from 2 percent to 4 percent, the monetary authority gets only between 0.51 and 1.60 percentage points of effective extra policy room for monetary policy (not 2 percentage points as intended). Getting 2 percentage points of effective extra room requires raising the target to more than 4 percent. Taking ...
Working Papers
, Paper 20-16
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L91 4 items
M41 4 items
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B4 3 items
C00 3 items
C1 3 items
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C34 3 items
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C62 3 items
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D13 3 items
D71 3 items
D8 3 items
D90 3 items
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E26 3 items
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F33 3 items
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G50 3 items
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H55 3 items
H68 3 items
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I20 3 items
I26 3 items
J08 3 items
J26 3 items
J28 3 items
J38 3 items
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J7 3 items
J78 3 items
K0 3 items
K21 3 items
L0 3 items
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L24 3 items
M37 3 items
N50 3 items
N92 3 items
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O57 3 items
Q31 3 items
Q33 3 items
Q51 3 items
R14 3 items
R28 3 items
R33 3 items
A1 2 items
A11 2 items
B41 2 items
C21 2 items
C35 2 items
C46 2 items
C50 2 items
C60 2 items
D01 2 items
D02 2 items
D57 2 items
D70 2 items
D78 2 items
D9 2 items
E02 2 items
E49 2 items
E59 2 items
E69 2 items
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F50 2 items
F51 2 items
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G3 2 items
G31 2 items
G35 2 items
G52 2 items
G53 2 items
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H23 2 items
H27 2 items
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H51 2 items
H54 2 items
H70 2 items
H74 2 items
H83 2 items
I2 2 items
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J01 2 items
J12 2 items
J42 2 items
J44 2 items
J46 2 items
J68 2 items
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K40 2 items
L20 2 items
L23 2 items
L40 2 items
L50 2 items
L51 2 items
L62 2 items
L82 2 items
M13 2 items
M50 2 items
M52 2 items
N32 2 items
N72 2 items
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O2 2 items
O24 2 items
O25 2 items
O34 2 items
P16 2 items
Q38 2 items
Q40 2 items
Q53 2 items
R0 2 items
R42 2 items
R5 2 items
R50 2 items
R52 2 items
R53 2 items
Z0 2 items
Z1 2 items
A13 1 items
B00 1 items
B1 1 items
B2 1 items
B23 1 items
C18 1 items
C2 1 items
C4 1 items
C44 1 items
C54 1 items
C67 1 items
C71 1 items
C80 1 items
C92 1 items
C93 1 items
D04 1 items
D19 1 items
D23 1 items
D3 1 items
D44 1 items
D45 1 items
D46 1 items
D47 1 items
D5 1 items
D50 1 items
D51 1 items
D6 1 items
D7 1 items
D92 1 items
E03 1 items
E10 1 items
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E64 1 items
F01 1 items
F17 1 items
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F38 1 items
F52 1 items
F54 1 items
F55 1 items
F60 1 items
F65 1 items
G0 1 items
G17 1 items
G4 1 items
G41 1 items
H00 1 items
H40 1 items
H5 1 items
H57 1 items
H6 1 items
H60 1 items
H62 1 items
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H84 1 items
H87 1 items
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I3 1 items
I30 1 items
J0 1 items
J00 1 items
J14 1 items
J45 1 items
J48 1 items
J51 1 items
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K00 1 items
K10 1 items
K11 1 items
K22 1 items
K31 1 items
K37 1 items
L1 1 items
L2 1 items
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L49 1 items
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L6 1 items
L66 1 items
L83 1 items
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M12 1 items
M3 1 items
M31 1 items
M4 1 items
M42 1 items
M55 1 items
N00 1 items
N2 1 items
N20 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 319 items
Business cycles 182 items
Inflation (Finance) 113 items
Forecasting 89 items
Unemployment 88 items
COVID-19 84 items
Econometric models 80 items
Fiscal policy 78 items
Interest rates 74 items
Prices 66 items
Taxation 64 items
International trade 60 items
Foreign exchange rates 59 items
Mortgages 51 items
Housing 50 items
Productivity 47 items
Regional economics 47 items
Human capital 47 items
Consumer credit 46 items
Incomplete Markets 45 items
inflation 45 items
Banks and banking 41 items
Consumption (Economics) 41 items
Labor market 41 items
Money supply 40 items
Wages 40 items
inequality 40 items
Macroeconomics 39 items
Debt 39 items
Credit 38 items
Money 38 items
time series analysis 38 items
consumption 38 items
Bank loans 37 items
Economic development 36 items
Risk 36 items
Financial crises 35 items
Foreign exchange 34 items
Ramsey Problem 33 items
Bankruptcy 32 items
Credit cards 32 items
Employment 32 items
Welfare 32 items
Default 31 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 27 items
Asset pricing 26 items
Bank failures 26 items
Employment (Economic theory) 26 items
Stock market 26 items
Heterogeneous Agents 26 items
Labor supply 26 items
Phillips curve 26 items
Monetary policy - United States 25 items
Production (Economic theory) 25 items
Regulation 25 items
Uncertainty 25 items
Investments 24 items
Stock - Prices 24 items
Trade 24 items
Mortgage 24 items
Banks and banking, Central 23 items
Education 23 items
Financial markets 23 items
Income 23 items
Recessions 23 items
Banks and banking - Costs 22 items
Inventories 22 items
Liquidity (Economics) 22 items
liquidity 22 items
Deposit insurance 21 items
Capital 20 items
Competition 20 items
Mortgage loans 20 items
Vector autoregression 20 items
Bank reserves 19 items
Econometrics 19 items
Income distribution 19 items
Economies of scale 18 items
Federal Open Market Committee 18 items
Monetary theory 18 items
Payment systems 18 items
Petroleum industry and trade 18 items
Technology 18 items
Insurance 18 items
Quantitative Easing 18 items
heterogeneity 18 items
Bank capital 17 items
Bank mergers 17 items
Economic forecasting 17 items
Human behavior 17 items
Keynesian economics 17 items
Real-time data 17 items
Bank supervision 16 items
Great Recession 16 items
Risk management 16 items
Saving and investment 16 items
Tariff 16 items
Bank competition 15 items
Consumer behavior 15 items
Corporations - Finance 15 items
Default (Finance) 15 items
Foreclosure 15 items
Gross domestic product 15 items
International finance 15 items
Research and development 15 items
vacancies 15 items
Depressions 14 items
Exports 14 items
Federal funds rate 14 items
Housing - Prices 14 items
Job Search 14 items
financial crisis 14 items
Bonds 13 items
Emigration and immigration 13 items
Expenditures, Public 13 items
Game theory 13 items
Mexico 13 items
Money theory 13 items
Patents 13 items
Sovereign Debt 13 items
Stock exchanges 13 items
machine learning 13 items
Cities and towns 12 items
Contracts 12 items
Crises 12 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 12 items
Wealth 12 items
capital asset pricing model 12 items
discretion 12 items
economic conditions - United States 12 items
financial frictions 12 items
government debt 12 items
zero lower bound 12 items
Country Risk 11 items
Immigrants 11 items
Latin America 11 items
Social security 11 items
Unemployment Insurance 11 items
credit constraints 11 items
deficit 11 items
institutional design 11 items
political frictions 11 items
time-consistency 11 items
financial stability 11 items
migration 11 items
mobility 11 items
Banking 10 items
China 10 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 10 items
Economic conditions 10 items
Economics 10 items
Federal Reserve 10 items
Markov-switching 10 items
North American Free Trade Agreement 10 items
Sovereign default 10 items
Technology - Economic aspects 10 items
banks 10 items
fintech 10 items
pandemic 10 items
recession 10 items
Bayesian estimation 10 items
Emerging Markets 10 items
firm dynamics 10 items
fiscal multipliers 10 items
Assets (Accounting) 9 items
Bayesian inference 9 items
Business cycles - Econometric models 9 items
Capital movements 9 items
Consumer price indexes 9 items
Demography 9 items
Federal Reserve System 9 items
Gambling industry 9 items
Germany 9 items
Great Britain 9 items
Open market operations 9 items
Price levels 9 items
Real property 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
credit supply 9 items
financial development 9 items
Exchange rate 9 items
Argentina 8 items
Bank notes 8 items
Banking market 8 items
Capital Taxation 8 items
Debts, Public 8 items
Economic policy 8 items
Free trade 8 items
Home equity loans 8 items
Internet 8 items
Manufactures 8 items
Maturity 8 items
Misallocation 8 items
Population 8 items
Price Dispersion 8 items
Retirement 8 items
Securities 8 items
Stochastic analysis 8 items
Taylor's rule 8 items
Terrorism 8 items
consumer payments 8 items
earnings dynamics 8 items
endogenous growth 8 items
household finances 8 items
inflation expectations 8 items
oil price 8 items
pandemics 8 items
Minimum Wage 8 items
Aging 7 items
Altruism 7 items
Bank deposits 7 items
Bank holding companies 7 items
Bayesian VARs 7 items
Canada 7 items
Capital investments 7 items
Discount 7 items
Dollar, American 7 items
Finance 7 items
Financial institutions 7 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 7 items
Futures 7 items
Gentrification 7 items
Geography 7 items
Housing - Finance 7 items
Industries 7 items
Investments, Foreign 7 items
Japan 7 items
Local transit 7 items
Pensions 7 items