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Series:Proceedings  Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 

Conference Paper
Can supervision and regulation ensure financial stability?

Proceedings , Issue June , Pages 125-164

Conference Paper
Issues in monetary targeting and velocity

Proceedings , Issue Dec , Pages 4-13

Conference Paper
Business volatility, job destruction and unemployment - discussion

Proceedings , Issue Nov

Conference Paper
Recent changes in trend and cycle, remarks

Proceedings

Conference Paper
Macroeconomic implications of changes in micro volatility

We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline and its consequences. The key ingredients of the story are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility ? most dramatically in the durable goods sector ? but the absence of a decline in the volatility of household consumption and individual earnings. Our explanation for volatility reduction stresses improved supply chain management, ...
Proceedings , Issue Nov

Conference Paper
Tracking the new economy: using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity

The acceleration of productivity since 1995 has prompted a debate over whether the economy's underlying growth rate will remain high. In this paper, we draw on growth theory to identify variables other than productivity - namely consumption and labor compensation - to help estimate trend productivity growth. We treat that trend as a common factor with two "regimes" high-growth and low-growth. Our analysis picks up striking evidence of a switch in the mid-1990s to a higher long-term growth regime, as well as a switch in the early 1970s in the other direction. In addition, we find that ...
Proceedings , Issue Nov

Conference Paper
The cosmic risk: an essay on global imbalances and treasuries

Proceedings , Issue Feb

Conference Paper
An incentive based theory of bank regulation

Proceedings , Issue Nov

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