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Working Paper
The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions
Zakrajšek, Egon; Natalucci, Fabio M.; Levin, Andrew T.
(2004)
We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2004-70
Working Paper
Household, Bank, and Insurer Exposure to Miami Hurricanes: a flow-of-risk analysis
Dennis, Benjamin
(2023-02-13)
We analyze possible future financial losses in the event of hurricane damage to Miami residential real estate, where the hurricane's destructiveness reflects climate-change. We focus on three scenarios: (i) a business-as-usual scenario, (ii) a Hurricane-Ian-spillovers scenario, and (iii) a cautious-markets scenario. We quantify bank exposures and loss rates, where exposures are proportional to the size of real estate markets and loss rates depend on post-hurricane devaluations and insurance coverage. This quantitative methodology could complement modeling of local economy impacts, stress ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2023-013
Working Paper
Off-farm labor supply and fertilizer use
Lamb, Russell L.
(1996)
I develop a two-period stochastic dynamic programming model to explain the interaction between fertilizer use and off-farm labor supply. Using a well-known sample of Indian farmers, I find that fertilizer use responds strongly to the village wage and that irrigation raises fertilizer use, while larger farmers use less fertilizer (per acre) than smaller ones. Response to one-sided production shocks, is stronger for female labor, indicating that it is more important for smoothing consumption than male labor.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-49
Working Paper
Health care costs, wages, and aging
Sheiner, Louise
(1999)
While economists generally agree that workers pay for their health insurance costs through reduced wages, there has been little thought devoted to the level at which these costs are passed on: Is each employee's wage reduced by the amount of his or her own health costs, by the average health costs of employees in the firm, or by some amount in between? This paper analyzes one dimension of the question of how firms pass health costs to workers. Using cross-city variation in health costs, I test whether older workers pay for their higher health costs in the form of lower wages. I find that in ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1999-19
Working Paper
Women's Labor Force Exits during COVID-19: Differences by Motherhood, Race, and Ethnicity
Lim, Katherine; Zabek, Mike
(2021-10-18)
In this paper, we study declines in women's labor force participation by race and ethnicity as well as the presence of children. We find that increases in labor force exits were larger for Black women, Latinas, and women living with children. In particular, we find larger increases in pandemic-era labor force exits among women living with children under age 6 and among lower-earning women living with school-age children after controlling for detailed job and demographic characteristics. Latinas and Black women also had larger increases in labor force exits during the pandemic relative to ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2021-067
Working Paper
Idiosyncratic variation of Treasury bill yields
Duffee, Gregory R.
(1994)
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 94-28
Working Paper
Consumption smoothing among working-class American families before social insurance
Palumbo, Michael G.; Thomas, Mark; James, John A.
(1999)
This paper examines whether the saving decisions of a large sample of working-class American families around the turn of the twentieth century are consistent with consumption smoothing tendencies in the spirit of the permanent income hypothesis. We develop two econometric models to decompose reported annual incomes from micro-data into expected and unexpected components, then we estimate marginal propensities to save out of each component of income. The two methodologies deliver similar regression estimates and reveal empirical patterns consistent with those reported in other recent research ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1999-24
Working Paper
Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty : A US and Euro Area Comparison
Grishchenko, Olesya V.; Mouabbi, Sarah; Renne, Jean-Paul
(2017-10-03)
We use several US and euro-area surveys of professional forecasters to estimate a dynamic factor model of inflation featuring time-varying uncertainty. We obtain survey-consistent distributions of future inflation at any horizon, both in the US and the euro area. Equipped with this model, we propose a novel measure of the anchoring of inflation expectations that accounts for inflation uncertainty. Our results suggest that following the Great Recession, inflation anchoring improved in the US, while mild de-anchoring occurred in the euro-area. As of our sample end, both areas appear to be ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2017-102
Working Paper
Bank commercial loan fair value practices
Tschirhart, John; Moise, Michael; Yang, Emily; O'Brien, James M.
(2007)
Recent accounting changes, for the first time, permit the use of fair value in the primary financial statements for held-to-maturity (HTM) bank loans. While the use of fair value has historically attracted significant discussion and debate, there is little information in the public domain on how banks would measure fair value or use it in loan management. This study presents and analyzes results from in-depth discussions with seven large internationally-active banks on their fair value use and measurement for HTM commercial loans and commitments. The objectives of the discussions and those of ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2007-29
Working Paper
The causes of business cycles and the cyclicality of real wages
Fleischman, Charles A.
(1999)
A model's ability to explain procyclical movements in real wages has become an important benchmark by which macroeconomists judge business cycle theories. Because Keynesian models with sticky nominal wages predict countercyclical real wages, they have been criticized and dismissed in favor of Real Business Cycle models or New Keynesian models based on price stickiness or countercyclical markups. The bulk of the evidence for procyclical real wages, however, comes from studies using panel data that estimate the unconditional, contemporaneous correlation between real wages and the unemployment ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1999-53
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J2 3 items
J41 3 items
K34 3 items
L41 3 items
M13 3 items
N10 3 items
O16 3 items
O30 3 items
O32 3 items
R12 3 items
R3 3 items
R32 3 items
R50 3 items
A14 2 items
B41 2 items
C01 2 items
C12 2 items
C25 2 items
C26 2 items
C31 2 items
C40 2 items
C72 2 items
C87 2 items
C88 2 items
C91 2 items
C92 2 items
D11 2 items
D3 2 items
D30 2 items
D47 2 items
D50 2 items
D92 2 items
E1 2 items
F00 2 items
F02 2 items
F12 2 items
F16 2 items
F23 2 items
F59 2 items
F63 2 items
G29 2 items
G3 2 items
H12 2 items
H26 2 items
H50 2 items
H57 2 items
H75 2 items
H8 2 items
I14 2 items
I20 2 items
I28 2 items
I38 2 items
J33 2 items
J42 2 items
J51 2 items
J6 2 items
J7 2 items
L15 2 items
L42 2 items
L81 2 items
M51 2 items
M55 2 items
N20 2 items
N41 2 items
O18 2 items
O23 2 items
O31 2 items
O41 2 items
O50 2 items
Q5 2 items
Q58 2 items
R13 2 items
R4 2 items
R52 2 items
R58 2 items
A22 1 items
C00 1 items
C02 1 items
C19 1 items
C2 1 items
C3 1 items
C36 1 items
C46 1 items
C49 1 items
C54 1 items
C57 1 items
C65 1 items
C67 1 items
C73 1 items
C78 1 items
C8 1 items
C89 1 items
D20 1 items
D23 1 items
D33 1 items
D4 1 items
D41 1 items
D42 1 items
D51 1 items
D58 1 items
D60 1 items
D62 1 items
D64 1 items
D79 1 items
D90 1 items
E0 1 items
E14 1 items
E59 1 items
E69 1 items
F21 1 items
F3 1 items
F32 1 items
F37 1 items
F38 1 items
F40 1 items
F45 1 items
F47 1 items
F55 1 items
F6 1 items
F61 1 items
F64 1 items
G0 1 items
H00 1 items
H10 1 items
H11 1 items
H19 1 items
H30 1 items
H39 1 items
H4 1 items
H5 1 items
H51 1 items
H56 1 items
H6 1 items
H62 1 items
H7 1 items
H73 1 items
H74 1 items
H80 1 items
H83 1 items
H84 1 items
I00 1 items
I11 1 items
I25 1 items
I3 1 items
J01 1 items
J1 1 items
J12 1 items
J18 1 items
J28 1 items
J38 1 items
J48 1 items
J50 1 items
J68 1 items
K20 1 items
K38 1 items
K40 1 items
K42 1 items
L00 1 items
L24 1 items
L31 1 items
L4 1 items
L5 1 items
L50 1 items
L60 1 items
L8 1 items
L89 1 items
L91 1 items
L92 1 items
M10 1 items
M37 1 items
M40 1 items
N11 1 items
N13 1 items
N3 1 items
N32 1 items
N40 1 items
N70 1 items
N72 1 items
O0 1 items
O11 1 items
O12 1 items
O13 1 items
O25 1 items
O38 1 items
O55 1 items
Q33 1 items
Q43 1 items
Q48 1 items
Q55 1 items
Q56 1 items
R14 1 items
R2 1 items
R41 1 items
R5 1 items
Y10 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 238 items
Econometric models 113 items
Interest rates 97 items
Inflation (Finance) 82 items
Risk 63 items
Business cycles 57 items
Forecasting 52 items
Inflation 49 items
Prices 48 items
Bank loans 43 items
Unemployment 43 items
Financial stability 41 items
Productivity 41 items
Wages 38 items
Federal Reserve 36 items
Stock - Prices 36 items
Consumption (Economics) 35 items
Bank capital 34 items
Mortgages 34 items
Consumer behavior 33 items
Risk management 33 items
Taxation 32 items
Labor market 30 items
Liquidity 30 items
Banks and banking 29 items
Consumer credit 29 items
Uncertainty 29 items
Credit 28 items
Phillips curve 28 items
Employment 27 items
Investments 27 items
Stock market 27 items
Bank mergers 25 items
Economic forecasting 24 items
Labor supply 24 items
Banks 23 items
Debt 22 items
Financial institutions 22 items
Fiscal policy 22 items
Inequality 22 items
Mortgage loans 22 items
time series analysis 22 items
Macroeconomics 21 items
Saving and investment 21 items
Stocks 21 items
Employment (Economic theory) 20 items
Small business 20 items
Wealth 20 items
Banking 19 items
COVID-19 19 items
Effective lower bound 19 items
Systemic risk 19 items
Financial crises 18 items
Income 18 items
Asset pricing 17 items
Household finance 17 items
Liquidity (Economics) 17 items
Regulation 17 items
Technology 17 items
Banking market 16 items
Econometrics 16 items
Housing - Prices 16 items
Human capital 16 items
Labor productivity 16 items
Volatility 16 items
Bank deposits 15 items
Bank lending 15 items
Bankruptcy 15 items
Financial markets 15 items
Forward guidance 15 items
Government securities 15 items
Heterogeneous agents 15 items
Monetary Policy 15 items
Surveys 15 items
Aggregate risk 14 items
Collateral 14 items
Commercial real estate 14 items
Consumption 14 items
Corporations - Finance 14 items
Discrimination 14 items
Financial crisis 14 items
Housing boom 14 items
Incomplete information 14 items
Mortgages and credit 14 items
Payment systems 14 items
Capital 13 items
Credit cards 13 items
Credit supply 13 items
Derivative securities 13 items
Inflation expectations 13 items
Investment 13 items
Money supply 13 items
Pensions 13 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 13 items
Zero lower bound 13 items
Asymmetric loss function 12 items
Bank Lending 12 items
Bonds 12 items
Climate change 12 items
Corporate bonds 12 items
Discretion 12 items
Monetary policy implementation 12 items
Social security 12 items
Symmetric loss function 12 items
Unconventional monetary policy 12 items
Unemployment insurance 12 items
Asset-backed financing 11 items
Capital market 11 items
Federal funds market (United States) 11 items
Federal funds rate 11 items
Great Recession 11 items
Learning 11 items
Securities 11 items
capital asset pricing model 11 items
Basel III 10 items
Competition 10 items
Economics 10 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 10 items
Great inflation 10 items
Households - Economic aspects 10 items
Inflation targeting 10 items
Medicare 10 items
Real-time data 10 items
Repo 10 items
Savings and loan associations 10 items
Stablecoins 10 items
Stock returns 10 items
Volcker 10 items
Automobile industry and trade 9 items
Bank failures 9 items
Bank reserves 9 items
Bank supervision 9 items
Banking structure 9 items
Bayesian estimation 9 items
Capital investments 9 items
Central bank digital currency 9 items
Central counterparties 9 items
Covenants 9 items
Discount window 9 items
FOMC 9 items
Futures 9 items
Hedge funds 9 items
Homeownership 9 items
Industrial productivity 9 items
Mortgage lending 9 items
Mutual funds 9 items
Retirement 9 items
Securitization 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
Welfare 9 items
liquidity 9 items
monetary policy 9 items
Asymmetric information 8 items
Bank competition 8 items
Bank disintermediation 8 items
Bank profits 8 items
Central bank balance sheet 8 items
Construction 8 items
Debt Contract Enforcement 8 items
Deposit insurance 8 items
Education 8 items
Entrepreneurship 8 items
Expectations 8 items
Funding for lending 8 items
Gross domestic product 8 items
Industrial capacity 8 items
Information technology 8 items
Japan 8 items
Macroprudential policy 8 items
Market liquidity 8 items
Mobility 8 items
Monetary policy tools 8 items
Money 8 items
Natural Language Processing 8 items
OPEC Announcements 8 items
Poverty 8 items
Private Equity Funds 8 items
Rate of return 8 items
Search and matching 8 items
Structural Topic Models 8 items
Swaps (Finance) 8 items
Traders’ Positions 8 items
financial crisis 8 items
zero lower bound 8 items
Amenities 7 items
Ancillary products 7 items
Auctions 7 items
Branch banks 7 items
Central banking 7 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 7 items
Cost of living adjustments 7 items
Covid-19 7 items
Credit risk 7 items
Debt cancellation agreements 7 items
Discrimination in consumer credit 7 items
Dynamic factor model 7 items
Economic indicators 7 items
Federal Open Market Committee 7 items
Financial Stability 7 items
Financial services industry 7 items
GAP 7 items
GAP insurance 7 items
GAP waiver 7 items
Government debt 7 items
Growth 7 items
Housing 7 items
Housing supply 7 items
Inflation dynamics 7 items
Job quality 7 items
Labor force participation 7 items
Machine learning 7 items
Manufactures 7 items
Manufacturing 7 items
Menu costs 7 items
Monetary policy - United States 7 items
Monetary policy transmission 7 items
Money market 7 items
Monopolistic competition 7 items
Mortgage 7 items
Mortgage-backed securities 7 items
Over-the-counter markets 7 items
Pandemic 7 items
Portfolio choice 7 items
Real property 7 items
Recessions 7 items
Rules 7 items
Runs 7 items
Stress tests 7 items
Student loans 7 items
Time to plan 7 items
Treasury market 7 items
Vehicle financing 7 items
Well-being 7 items
Administrative data 6 items
Asset purchases 6 items
Bank management 6 items
Bank risk 6 items
Bayesian methods 6 items
Bunching 6 items
Business cycle 6 items
Business enterprises 6 items
Capacity 6 items
Computers 6 items
Corporate profits 6 items
Countercyclical policy 6 items
Default 6 items
Economic development 6 items
Effective Lower Bound 6 items
Expenditures, Public 6 items
Fair lending 6 items
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve System 6 items
Federal funds market 6 items
Financial risk management 6 items
Financial stability and risk 6 items
Firm dynamics 6 items
Generations 6 items
Great Depression 6 items
Great recession 6 items
Higher education 6 items
House prices 6 items
Institutional investors 6 items
Insurance 6 items
International finance 6 items
Inventories 6 items
Labor supply and demand 6 items
Leverage 6 items
Margins (Security trading) 6 items
Millennials 6 items
Minimum wage 6 items
Payment system 6 items
Price discovery 6 items
Production 6 items
Property tax 6 items
Refinancing 6 items
Research and development 6 items
Resilience 6 items
Saving 6 items
Statistics 6 items
Sufficient statistics 6 items
Supply network 6 items
Taylor rule 6 items
Treasury bills 6 items
401(k) plans 5 items
Arbitrage 5 items
Asset prices 5 items
Automated tellers 5 items
Bank regulation 5 items
Banks and banking - Costs 5 items
Banks and banking, Central 5 items
Big data 5 items
Broker-dealers 5 items
CBDC 5 items
CCPs 5 items
Cash out refinancing 5 items
Central bank liabilities 5 items
Checks 5 items
Climate risk 5 items
Cointegration 5 items
Corporations 5 items
Data quality 5 items
DeFi 5 items
Dealers 5 items
Disclosure 5 items
Electronic funds transfers 5 items
Equity extraction 5 items
Equity premium 5 items
Federal funds 5 items
Financial Crisis 5 items
Financial intermediation 5 items
Financial leverage 5 items
Financial regulation 5 items
Financial stress index 5 items
Forbearance 5 items
Foreign exchange rates 5 items
Full income 5 items
Income distribution 5 items
Industries 5 items
Inflation swaps 5 items
Kalman filter 5 items
Labor mobility 5 items
Lending standards 5 items
Local projections 5 items
Model uncertainty 5 items
Monetary theory 5 items
Natural language processing 5 items
Open market operations 5 items
Optimal policy 5 items
Output gap 5 items
Production (Economic theory) 5 items
Quantitative easing 5 items
Rational inattention 5 items
Recession 5 items
Repo market 5 items
Retirement income 5 items
Rules and discretion 5 items
Search 5 items
Small open economies 5 items
Stocks - Rate of return 5 items
Survey data 5 items
Yield curve 5 items
forward guidance 5 items
small business finance 5 items
Access to Credit 4 items
Asset management 4 items
Auto loans 4 items
Automated underwriting 4 items
Bank deregulation 4 items
Bank runs 4 items
Banking system 4 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 4 items
Beveridge curve 4 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 4 items
Business Cycles 4 items
Cafeteria benefit plans 4 items
Capital requirements 4 items
Carbon pricing 4 items
Causal estimates of monetary policy 4 items
China 4 items
College major 4 items
College premium 4 items
Commercial paper issues 4 items
Commitment 4 items
Common ownership 4 items
Consumer Credit 4 items
Consumer protection 4 items
Convergence 4 items
Corporate governance 4 items
Corporate taxes 4 items
Credit constraints 4 items
Credit default swaps 4 items
Credit score 4 items
DSGE models 4 items
Debit cards 4 items
Default (Finance) 4 items
Defined benefit pension plans 4 items
Demand shocks 4 items
Difference-in-differences 4 items
Discretionary Fiscal Policy 4 items
Dividends 4 items
ESG 4 items
Economic stabilization 4 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 4 items
Exports 4 items
Extended Kalman filter 4 items
FX Rate Overshooting Puzzle 4 items
Fama Regression 4 items
FinTech 4 items
Financial Crises 4 items
Financial Frictions 4 items
Financial Regulation 4 items
Financial literacy 4 items
Firm effect 4 items
Flow of funds 4 items
Foreclosure 4 items
GDP growth 4 items
Global financial crisis 4 items
Great Inflation 4 items
Great Moderation 4 items
High-frequency identification 4 items
Home ownership 4 items
Households 4 items
Housing - Finance 4 items
Hysteresis 4 items
Identification 4 items
Income tax 4 items
Incomplete markets 4 items
Industrial organization of financial markets 4 items
Inflation Targeting 4 items
Inflation-indexed bonds 4 items
Insurance, Health 4 items
Interest Rate Cap 4 items
International trade 4 items
LSAPs 4 items
Labor share 4 items
Lender of Last Resort 4 items
Light Vehicle Purchases 4 items
Liquidity requirements 4 items
Liquidity risk 4 items
Loan liquidity 4 items
Machine Learning 4 items
Margin 4 items
Maximum likelihood estimation 4 items
Measurement error 4 items
Misallocation 4 items
Monetary policy strategy 4 items
Monetary surprises 4 items
Money market funds 4 items
Money markets 4 items
Moral hazard 4 items
Natural rate of interest 4 items
Non-bank lending 4 items
Occasionally binding constraints 4 items
Operational Risk 4 items
Optimal monetary policy 4 items
Payday loans 4 items
Personal loans 4 items
Phillips Curve 4 items
Portfolio management 4 items
Pre-paid incentives 4 items
Predictability Reversal Puzzle 4 items
Price informativeness 4 items
Price measurement 4 items
QE 4 items
Racial inequality 4 items
Random walks (Mathematics) 4 items
Residential real estate 4 items
Response rates 4 items
Returns to institution 4 items
Safe assets 4 items
Semiconductor industry 4 items
Sequential incentives 4 items
Spillovers 4 items
Statistical methods 4 items
Stimulus checks 4 items
Stochastic volatility 4 items
Stock Market 4 items
Stockholders 4 items
Stress testing 4 items
Systemic Risk 4 items
Tail Risk 4 items
Tax credits 4 items
Term Structure of Interest Rates 4 items
Trend-cycle decomposition 4 items
UIP Puzzle 4 items
Unconditional incentives 4 items
Unconventional Monetary Policy 4 items
Vector autoregression 4 items
Wage decomposition 4 items
business cycles 4 items
credit unions 4 items
financial frictions 4 items
financial stability 4 items
forecasting 4 items
housing markets 4 items
liquidity traps 4 items
older people 4 items
other financial institutions 4 items
systemic risk 4 items
uncertainty 4 items
unobserved component model 4 items
Alternative data 3 items
Asset quality review 3 items
Attention 3 items
Automobiles - Prices 3 items
Bank Capital 3 items
Bank holding companies 3 items
Bank investments 3 items
Bank lending channel 3 items
Banking Regulation 3 items
Banking panics 3 items
Banking regulation 3 items
Banks and banking - United States 3 items
Banks and banking, International 3 items
Bayesian analysis 3 items
Behavioral bias 3 items
Black Swans 3 items
Business dynamics 3 items
CARD Act 3 items
CARES Act 3 items
COVID-19 pandemic 3 items
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